Background We have demonstrated that a neural network is able to predict a person’s age from the electrocardiogram (ECG) [artificial intelligence (AI) ECG age]. However, some discrepancies were observed between ECG-derived and chronological ages. We assessed whether the difference between AI ECG and chronological age (Age-Gap) represents biological ageing and predicts long-term outcomes. Methods and results We previously developed a convolutional neural network to predict chronological age from ECGs. In this study, we used the network to analyse standard digital 12-lead ECGs in a cohort of 25 144 subjects ≥30 years who had primary care outpatient visits from 1997 to 2003. Subjects with coronary artery disease, stroke, and atrial fibrillation were excluded. We tested whether Age-Gap was correlated with total and cardiovascular mortality. Of 25 144 subjects tested (54% females, 95% Caucasian) followed for 12.4 ± 5.3 years, the mean chronological age was 53.7 ± 11.6 years and ECG-derived age was 54.6 ± 11 years (R2 = 0.79, P < 0.0001). The mean Age-Gap was small at 0.88 ± 7.4 years. Compared to those whose ECG-derived age was within 1 standard deviation (SD) of their chronological age, patients with Age-Gap ≥1 SD had higher all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. Conversely, subjects whose Age-Gap was ≤1 SD had lower all-cause and CVD mortality. Results were unchanged after adjusting for CVD risk factors and other survival influencing factors. Conclusion The difference between AI ECG and chronological age is an independent predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Discrepancies between these possibly reflect disease independent biological ageing.

BACKGROUND Automated computerized electrocardiogram (ECG) interpretation algorithms are designed to enhance physician ECG interpretation, minimize medical error, and expedite clinical workflow. However, the performance of current computer algorithms is notoriously inconsistent. We aimed to develop and validate an artificial intelligence-enabled ECG (AI-ECG) algorithm capable of comprehensive 12-lead ECG interpretation with accuracy comparable to practicing cardiologists. METHODSWe developed an AI-ECG algorithm using a convolutional neural network as a multilabel classifier capable of assessing 66 discrete, structured diagnostic ECG codes using the cardiologist's final annotation as the gold-standard interpretation. We included 2,499,522 ECGs from 720,978 patients 18 years of age with a standard 12-lead ECG obtained at the Mayo Clinic ECG laboratory between 1993 and 2017. The total sample was randomly divided into training (n 5 1,749,654), validation (n 5 249,951), and testing (n 5 499,917) datasets with a similar distribution of codes. We compared the AI-ECG algorithm's performance to the cardiologist's interpretation in the testing dataset using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and precision recall (PR) curves. RESULTSThe model performed well for various rhythm, conduction, ischemia, waveform morphology, and secondary diagnoses codes with an area under the ROC curve of 0.98 for 62 of the 66 codes. PR metrics were used to assess model performance accounting for category imbalance and demonstrated a sensitivity 95% for all codes.CONCLUSIONS An AI-ECG algorithm demonstrates high diagnostic performance in comparison to reference cardiologist interpretation of a standard 12-lead ECG. The use of AI-ECG reading tools may permit scalability as ECG acquisition becomes more ubiquitous.

No abstract

No abstract

No abstract