Background: Epidemiologic evidence on body mass index (BMI)-metabolic status phenotypes and diabetes risk remains controversial, especially for metabolically healthy obesity (MHO). We aimed to examine the effect of metabolic health and obesity phenotype on diabetes risk in the Chinese population. Methods: A population-based cohort study was carried out. The baseline survey was conducted in 2017, with two follow-up visits in 2018 and 2020. Diabetes was defined based on the criteria of the World Health Organization. Robust generalized estimating equation models with a binary distribution using a log link and exchange structure were applied for the pooled analysis sample. Results: A total sample of 9623 observations was pooled for the longitudinal data analysis. The average follow-up time was 1.64 years per person and the overall incidence density of diabetes was 6.94% person-years. Decreased diabetes risk was found in metabolically healthy overweight phenotype (RR = 0.65; 95% CI = 0.47-0.90) and no significant associations were detected for the MHO individuals (RR = 0.99; 95% CI = 0.63-1.53) compared with those of metabolically healthy normal weight, in contrast to metabolically unhealthy normal weight (MU-NW) (RR = 1.81; 95% CI = 1.28-2.55), metabolically unhealthy overweight (MU-OW) (RR = 2.02; 95% CI = 1.57-2.61) and metabolically unhealthy obesity (MUO) (RR = 2.48; 95% CI = 1.89-3.26) phenotypes. Significant associations between BMI-metabolic status phenotypes and diabetes were found in both males and females. Conclusion:The MUO phenotype needs to be accorded much more importance. MU-NW and MU-OW are also important component for targeted prevention. Our findings can be targeted for optimizing preventive strategies to mitigate the obviously increased prevalence of diabetes.
Measles virus (MeV) genotype B3 is one globally significant circulating genotype. Here, we present a systematic description of long-term evolutionary characterizations of the MeV genotype B3’s hemagglutinin (H) gene in the elimination era. Our results show that the B3 H gene can be divided into two main sub-genotypes, and the highest intra-genotypic diversity was observed in 2004. MeV genotype B3’s H gene diverged in 1976; its overall nucleotide substitution rate is estimated to be 5.697 × 10−4 substitutions/site/year, and is slowing down. The amino acid substitution rate of genotype B3’s H gene is also decreasing, and the mean effective population size has been in a downward trend since 2000. Selection pressure analysis only recognized a few sites under positive selection, and the number of positive selection sites is getting smaller. All of these observations may reveal that genotype B3’s H gene is not under strong selection pressure, and is becoming increasingly conservative. MeV H-gene or whole-genome sequencing should be routine, so as to better elucidate the molecular epidemiology of MeV in the future.
The mumps resurgence has frequently been reported around the world in recent years, especially in many counties mumps vaccines have been widely used. This study aimed to describe the spatial epidemiological characteristics of mumps in Jiangsu, and provide a scientific basis for the implementation and adjustment of strategies to prevent and control mumps. The epidemiological characteristics were described with ratio or proportion. Spatial autocorrelation, Tango's flexible spatial scan statistics, and Kulldorff's elliptic spatiotemporal scan statistics were applied to identify the spatial autocorrelation, detect hot and cold spots of mumps incidence, and aggregation areas. A total of 172 775 cases were reported from 2004 to 2020 in Jiangsu. The general trend of mumps incidence is declining with a bimodal seasonal distribution identified mainly in summer and winter, respectively. Children aged 5-10 years old are the main risk group. A migration trend of hot spots from southeast to northwest over time was found. Similar high-risk aggregations were detected in the northwestern parts through spatialtemporal analysis with the most likely cluster time frame around 2019. Local medical and health administrations should formulate and implement targeted health care policies and allocate health resources more appropriately corresponding to the epidemiological characteristics of mumps.
Norovirus is the leading viral agent of gastroenteritis in humans. RNA-dependent RNA polymerase (RdRp) is essential in the replication of norovirus RNA. Here, we present a comprehensive evolutionary analysis of the norovirus GI RdRp gene. Our results show that the norovirus GI RdRp gene can be divided into three groups, and that the most recent common ancestor was 1484. The overall evolutionary rate of GI RdRp is 1.821 × 10−3 substitutions/site/year. Most of the amino acids of the GI RdRp gene were under negative selection, and only a few positively selected sites were recognized. Amino acid substitutions in the GI RdRp gene accumulated slowly over time. GI.P1, GI.P3 and GI.P6 owned the higher evolutionary rates. GI.P11 and GI.P13 had the faster accumulation rate of amino acid substitutions. GI.P2, GI.P3, GI.P4, GI.P6 and GI.P13 presented a strong linear evolution. These results reveal that the norovirus GI RdRp gene evolves conservatively, and that the molecular evolutionary characteristics of each P-genotype are diverse. Sequencing in RdRp and VP1 of norovirus should be advocated in the surveillance system to explore the effect of RdRp on norovirus activity.
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