OBJECTIVES Current staging systems for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA) are inadequate, as they are based on surgical pathology and therefore not relevant to unresectable patients. Clinical trials for potential targeted therapies for pCCA are hampered by the lack of an accurate, nonoperative staging system for predicting survival. We aimed at developing a clinical staging system for pCCA, which would be of prognostic relevance for all pCCA patients and help stratify patients for clinical trials. METHODS Clinical information at the time of pCCA diagnosis of 413 patients seen at Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN between 2002 and 2010 was retrospectively analyzed. A survival predictive model was developed using Cox proportional hazards analysis. The performance of the staging system was compared with the current AJCC/UICC (the American Joint Committee on Cancer/the Union for International Cancer Control) 7th tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system. RESULTS Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) status, tumor size and number, vascular encasement, lymph node and peritoneal metastasis and CA 19-9 level were grouped into a four-tier staging system. The median survivals of stages I, II, III, and IV patients were 48.6, 21.8, 8.6, and 2.8 months, with hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) of 1.0 (reference), 1.7 (1.1–2.6), 3.1 (2.0–4.7), and 8.7 (5.2–14.5), respectively (P<0.0001). This staging system had greater concordance statistics (standard error) than the TNM staging system (0.725 (0.018) vs. 0.614 (0.017)), indicating better performance in predicting survival. CONCLUSIONS This staging system, based on nonoperative information at the time of pCCA diagnosis, has excellent discriminatory power to classify patients into four prognostic stages. It could be useful to clinicians and for the design of clinical trials.
IntroductionAcute cholangitis (AC) is a clinical condition that requires prompt medical management with IV fluids, antibiotics, and biliary drainage (BD). The optimal timing for BD remains unclear.AimTo investigate the effect of biliary drainage timing on clinical outcomes in AC.Material and methodsWe conducted a retrospective study of patients with AC admitted to the ICU using the Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) database. Emergency department to BD time, hospital death, length of stay (LOS), and severity scores were extracted from the database. We investigated the effect of BD timing on mortality rates, persistent organ failure, and LOS.ResultsA total of 177 patients were included; 50% were males; median age was 75 years, in-hospital mortality was 9.6%, mean time-to-ERCP was 32 h (range: 0.42–229.6) with 76% meeting the Tokyo Guidelines (TG13) criteria for severe cholangitis, and median Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II) was 42 (IQR: 33–51). Using 24 h as a cut-off, patients who underwent BD ≤ 24 h had less persistent organ failure (OR = 0.49; 95% CI: 0.26–0.96, p = 0.040), shorter ICU LOS (3.25 vs. 4.95 days, p = 0.040), shorter hospital LOS (7.71 vs. 13.57 days, p = 0.001), but no difference in either in-hospital mortality (OR = 0.47, 95% CI: 0.17–1.29, p = 0.146) or 28-day mortality (OR = 0.61, 95% CI: 0.24–1.53, p = 0.297).ConclusionsIn critically-ill patients with acute cholangitis, early biliary drainage ≤ 24 h is associated with less persistent organ failure and shorter length of stay but had no effect on patient survival.
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