Abstract. The extended Kalman filter (EKF) is a popular state estimation method for nonlinear dynamical models. The model error covariance matrix is often seen as a tuning parameter in EKF, which is often simply postulated by the user. In this paper, we study the filter likelihood technique for estimating the parameters of the model error covariance matrix. The approach is based on computing the likelihood of the covariance matrix parameters using the filtering output. We show that (a) the importance of the model error covariance matrix calibration depends on the quality of the observations, and that (b) the estimation approach yields a welltuned EKF in terms of the accuracy of the state estimates and model predictions. For our numerical experiments, we use the two-layer quasi-geostrophic model that is often used as a benchmark model for numerical weather prediction.
In this paper, we present an auto-encoder-based machine learning framework for self organizing networks (SON). Traditional machine learning approaches, for example, K Nearest Neighbor, lack the ability to be precisely predictive. Therefore, they can not be extended for sequential data in the true sense because they require a batch of data to be trained on. In this work, we explore artificial neural network-based approaches like the autoencoders (AE) and propose a framework. The proposed framework provides an advantage over traditional machine learning approaches in terms of accuracy and the capability to be extended with other methods. The paper provides an assessment of the application of autoencoders (AE) for cell outage detection. First, we briefly introduce deep learning (DL) and also shed light on why it is a promising technique to make self organizing networks intelligent, cognitive, and intuitive so that they behave as fully self-configured, self-optimized, and self-healed cellular networks. The concept of SON is then explained with applications of intrusion detection and mobility load balancing. Our empirical study presents a framework for cell outage detection based on an autoencoder using simulated data obtained from a SON simulator. Finally, we provide a comparative analysis of the proposed framework with the existing frameworks.
Abstract. In this article, we present an analysis of the impact of nutrition and lifestyle on health at a global level. We have used Self-organizing Maps (SOM) algorithm as the analysis technique. SOM enables us to visualize the relative position of each country against a set of the variables related to nutrition, lifestyle and health. The positioning of the countries follows the basic understanding of their status with respect to their socioeconomic conditions. We have also studied the relationships between the variables supported by the SOM visualization. This analysis presents many obvious correlations but also some surprising findings that are worth further analyses.
Abstract. In this work, we consider the Bayesian optimization (BO) approach for tuning parameters of complex chaotic systems. Such problems arise, for instance, in tuning the sub-grid scale parameterizations in weather and climate models. For such problems, the tuning procedure is generally based on a performance metric which measures how well the tuned model fits the data. This tuning is often a computationally expensive task. We show that BO, as a tool for finding the extrema of computationally expensive objective functions, is suitable for such tuning tasks. In the experiments, we consider tuning parameters of two systems: a simplified atmospheric model and a low-dimensional chaotic system. We show that BO is able to tune parameters of both the systems with a low number of objective function evaluations and without the need of any gradient information.
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