A long-standing question about consumer behavior is whether individuals’ observed purchase decisions satisfy the revealed preference (RP) axioms of the utility maximization theory (UMT). Researchers using survey or experimental panel data sets on prices and consumption to answer this question face the well-known problem of measurement error. We show that ignoring measurement error in the RP approach may lead to overrejection of the UMT. To solve this problem, we propose a new statistical RP framework for consumption panel data sets that allows for testing the UMT in the presence of measurement error. Our test is applicable to all consumer models that can be characterized by their first-order conditions. Our approach is nonparametric, allows for unrestricted heterogeneity in preferences, and requires only a centering condition on measurement error. We develop two applications that provide new evidence about the UMT. First, we find support in a survey data set for the dynamic and time-consistent UMT in single-individual households, in the presence of nonclassical measurement error in consumption. In the second application, we cannot reject the static UMT in a widely used experimental data set in which measurement error in prices is assumed to be the result of price misperception due to the experimental design. The first finding stands in contrast to the conclusions drawn from the deterministic RP test of Browning (1989). The second finding reverses the conclusions drawn from the deterministic RP test of Afriat (1967) and Varian (1982).
We study a dynamic generalization of stochastic rationality in consumer behavior, the Dynamic Random Utility Model (DRUM). Under DRUM, a consumer draws a utility function from a stochastic utility process and maximizes this utility subject to her budget constraint in each time period. Utility is random, with unrestricted correlation across time periods and unrestricted heterogeneity in a cross-section. We provide a revealed preference characterization of DRUM when we observe a panel of choices from budgets. This characterization is amenable to statistical testing. Our result unifies Afriat's (1967) theorem that works with time-series data and the static random utility framework of McFadden-Richter (1990) that works with cross-sections of choice.
This paper develops a dynamic model of discrete choice that incorporates peer effects into consideration sets. We characterize equilibrium behavior and study the empirical content of the dynamic model we offer. In our set-up, the choices of friends act as exclusion restrictions in the stochastic variation of the subset of alternatives that each person considers at the moment of picking an option. They allow us to recover (from a sequence of observed choices) the ranking of preferences of each person, the attention mechanism, and the set of connections or nodes between the people in the network. The identification strategy we offer does not rely on the variation of the set of available options (or menus) which remain the same across all the observations.
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