Although there has been nearly complete agreement in the scientific community that Monte Carlo techniques represent a significant improvement in the exposure assessment process, virtually all state and federal risk assessments still rely on the traditional point estimate approach. One of the rate-determining steps to a timely implementation of Monte Carlo techniques to regulatory decision making is the development of "standard" data distributions that are considered applicable to any setting. For many exposure variables, there is no need to wait any longer to adopt Monte Carlo techniques into regulatory policy since there is a wealth of data from which a robust distribution can be developed and ample evidence to indicate that the variable is not significantly influenced by site-specific conditions. In this paper, we propose several distributions that can be considered standard and customary for most settings. Age-specific distributions for soil ingestion rates, inhalation rates, body weights, skin surface area, tapwater and fish consumption, residential occupancy and occupational tenure, and soil-on-skin adherence were developed. For each distribution offered in this paper, we discuss the adequacy of the database, derivation of the distribution, and applicability of the distribution to various settings and conditions.
Since the publication of the Times Beach risk assessment in 1984, which suggested that residential soils were of concern when the level of 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) was in excess of 1 ppb, there has been continued interest in this topic. Studies conducted within the past 5 yr on the environmental and toxicological behavior of TCDD, as well as refinement of parameters regarding human exposure, indicate that previous assessments of the risk to humans posed by TCDD-contaminated soil were overestimated. In this paper, recent information drawn from nearly 100 recently published articles regarding the histopathology interpretation of the Kociba bioassay, environmental fate and half-life of TCDD in soil, and estimates of human exposure via soil ingestion, dermal contact, inhalation, surface runoff, and the consumption of fish were incorporated into a risk assessment. Cleanup levels for TCDD in residential and industrial soils were calculated based on most likely exposure scenarios. Probability distributions of key exposure parameters were incorporated into a Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis to predict the range and probability of TCDD uptake and corresponding cleanup levels in soil. This analysis demonstrated that the most significant route of human exposure to TCDD is through dermal contact with soil, followed by soil ingestion, fish consumption, and inhalation of airborne particulates. At residential sites, soils containing 20 parts per billion (ppb) of TCDD were found to pose a lifetime cancer risk no greater than 1 in 100,000 (10(-5) risk) under typical exposure conditions. Based on the Monte Carlo analysis, soil concentrations for the 75th and 95th percentile person were 12 and 7 ppb (10(-5) risk), respectively. In industrial soils, TCDD concentrations ranged between 131 and 582 ppb (10(-5) risk), depending on the amount of time spent outdoors under typical exposure conditions. Industrial soil concentrations of approximately 93 and 46 ppb (10(-5) risk) were calculated for the 75th and 95th percentile worker, respectively, engaged in outdoor activities. The range of TCDD concentrations in industrial soils was not reduced significantly when the consumption of fish from a neighboring waterway by off-site receptors was considered. While cleanup levels for TCDD should be derived on a site-specific basis, this analysis indicated that soil cleanup standards can be generally higher than those implemented over the past 8 yr.
Abstract-A critical evaluation of literature on the behavior, physiology, and ecology of common estuarine organisms was conducted in an attempt to develop probabilistic distributions for those variables that influence the uptake of xenobiotic chemicals from sediments, water, and food sources. The ranges, central tendencies, and distributions of several key parameter values were identified for dominant organisms from various trophic levels, including the polychaete Nereis virens, mummichog (Fundulus heteroclitus), blue crab (Callinectes sapidus), and striped bass (Morone saxatilis). The exposure factors of interest included ingestion rate for various food sources, growth rate, respiration rate, excretion rate, body weight, wet/dry weight ratio, lipid content, chemical assimilation efficiency, and food assimilation efficiency. These exposure factors are critical to the execution of mechanistic food web models, which, when properly calibrated, can be used to estimate tissue concentrations of nonionic chemicals in aquatic organisms based on knowledge of the bioenergetics and feeding interactions within a food web and the sediment and water concentrations of chemicals. In this article we describe the use of distributions for various exposure factors in the context of a mechanistic bioaccumulation model that is amenable to probabilistic analyses for multiple organisms within a food web. A case study is provided which compares the estimated versus measured concentrations of five polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB) congeners in a representative food web from the tidal portion of the Passaic River, New Jersey, USA. The results suggest that the model is accurate within an order of magnitude or less in estimating the bioaccumulation of PCBs in this food web without calibration. The results of a model sensitivity analysis suggest that the input parameters which most influence the output of the model are both chemical and organism specific.
In deriving water quality standards and appropriate restoration levels for contaminated surface waters, the potential for human exposure is often the most important factor to be considered. For certain persistent compounds, like 2,3,7,8‐tetrachlorodibenzo‐p‐dioxin (TODD) or mixtures of polychlorinated biphenyls, a primary pathway of human exposure is through ingestion offish obtained from affected waters. Pending water quality regulation for TCDD in Maine required that estimates be made of the rate of consumption of freshwater fish obtained from rivers that receive TCDD discharges. Because commercial freshwater fishers do not exist on Maine rivers, any freshwater fish that are eaten have been caught by anglers. A statewide mail survey of Maine's licensed anglers was undertaken to characterize rates offish consumption from rivers and streams in Maine. The survey was mailed to 2,500 licensed resident anglers who were randomly selected from state license files. The response rate of 70% (based on deliverable surveys) resulted in a usable sample of 1,612 anglers. Results ofthis study indicated that, if fish are shared with other fish eaters in the household, the annual average consumption of freshwater river fish per consuming angler in Maine is 3.7 g/d. Comparisons of findings of this study and of studies in other regions of the United States show considerable variations in fish consumption rates, supporting the use of state‐ or region‐specific estimates of fish consumption in establishing water quality regulations for persistent, biologically accumulative compounds.
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