A key component of the NGA research project was the development of a strong-motion database with improved quality and content that could be used for ground-motion research as well as for engineering practice. Development of the NGA database was executed through the Lifelines program of the PEER Center with contributions from several research organizations and many individuals in the engineering and seismological communities. Currently, the data set consists of 3551 publicly available multi-component records from 173 shallow crustal earthquakes, ranging in magnitude from 4.2 to 7.9. Each acceleration time series has been corrected and filtered, and pseudo absolute spectral acceleration at multiple damping levels has been computed for each of the 3 components of the acceleration time series. The lowest limit of usable spectral frequency was determined based on the type of filter and the filter corner frequency. For NGA model development, the two horizontal acceleration components were further rotated to form the orientation-independent measure of horizontal ground motion (GMRotI50). In addition to the ground-motion parameters, a large and comprehensive list of metadata characterizing the recording conditions of each record was also developed. NGA data have been systematically checked and reviewed by experts and NGA developers.
An updated ground motion prediction equation (GMPE) for the horizontal component response spectral values from subduction zone earthquakes is developed using a global data set that includes 2,590 recordings from 63 slab earthquakes (5.0 ≤ M ≤7.9) and 953 recordings from 43 interface earthquakes (6.0 ≤ M ≤8.4) at distances up to 300 km. The empirical data constrain the moment magnitude scaling up to M8.0. For M > 8.0, a break in magnitude scaling is included in the model based on the magnitude scaling found in numerical simulations for interface earthquakes in Cascadia. The focal depth scaling of the short-period spectral values are strong for slab earthquakes, but it is not seen for interface events. The distance scaling is different for sites located in the forearc and backarc regions, with much steeper attenuation for backarc sites. The site is classified by V S30 with constrained nonlinear site amplification effects.
The NGA-West2 project is a large multidisciplinary, multi-year research program on the Next Generation Attenuation (NGA) models for shallow crustal earthquakes in active tectonic regions. The research project has been coordinated by the Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center (PEER), with extensive technical interactions among many individuals and organizations. NGA-West2 addresses several key issues in ground-motion seismic hazard, including updating the NGA database for a magnitude range of 3.0–7.9; updating NGA ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) for the “average” horizontal component; scaling response spectra for damping values other than 5%; quantifying the effects of directivity and directionality for horizontal ground motion; resolving discrepancies between the NGA and the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP) site amplification factors; analysis of epistemic uncertainty for NGA GMPEs; and developing GMPEs for vertical ground motion. This paper presents an overview of the NGA-West2 research program and its subprojects.
A presentation of the model parameters and comparison of the median ground-motion values from the NGA-West2 GMPEs is presented for a suite of deterministic cases. In general, the median ground motions are similar, within a factor of about 1.5–2.0 for 5 < M < 7 and distances between 10–100 km. Differences increase (on the order of 2–3) for large-magnitude (M > 8) earthquakes at large distances ( R > 100–200 km) and for close distances ( R < 10 km). A similar increase is observed for hanging-wall sites, and slightly larger differences are observed for soil sites as opposed to rock sites. Regionalization of four of the GMPEs yields similar attenuation rate adjustments based on the different regional data sets. All five GMPE aleatory variability models are a function of magnitude with higher overall standard deviations values for the smaller magnitudes when compared to the large-magnitude events.
The number of strong ground motion recordings available for regression analysis in developing empirical attenuation relationships has rapidly grown in the last 10 years. However, the dearth of strong-motion data from the Cascadia subduction zone has limited this development of relationships for the Cascadia subduction zone megathrust, which can be used in the calculation of design spectra for engineered structures. A stochastic finite-fault ground-motion model has been used to simulate ground motions for moment magnitude (M) 8.0, 8.5, and 9.0 megathrust earthquakes along the Cascadia subduction zone for both rock-and soil-site conditions. The stochastic finite-fault model was validated against the 1985 M 8.0 Michoacan, Mexico, and the 1985 M 8.0 Valpariso, Chile, earthquakes. These two subduction zone megathrust earthquakes were recorded at several rock sites located near the fault rupture. For the Cascadia megathrust earthquakes, three different rupture geometries were used to model the M 8.0, 8.5, and 9.0 events. The geometries only differ in their respective fault lengths. A fault dip of 9Њ to the east with a rupture width of 90 km was selected to represent average properties of the Cascadia subduction zone geometry. A regional crustal damping and velocity model was used with the stochastic finite-fault model simulations. Ground motions were computed for 16 site locations. The parametric uncertainties associated with the variation in source, path, and site effects were included in the development of the ground motions. A functional form was fit to the ground-motion model simulations to develop regionspecific attenuation relationships for the Cascadia megathrust rupture zone for both rock and soil site conditions. The total uncertainty was based on a combination of the modeling and parametric uncertainties (sigmas). These newly developed attenuation relationships for Cascadia subduction zone megathrust earthquakes can be used in both the probabilistic and deterministic seismic-hazard studies for engineering design for the Pacific Northwest.
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