In this paper, we study two fractional models in the Caputo–Fabrizio sense and Atangana–Baleanu sense, in which the effects of malaria infection on mosquito biting behavior and attractiveness of humans are considered. Using Lyapunov theory, we prove the global asymptotic stability of the unique endemic equilibrium of the integer-order model, and the fractional models, whenever the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is greater than one. By using fixed point theory, we prove existence, and conditions of the uniqueness of solutions, as well as the stability and convergence of numerical schemes. Numerical simulations for both models, using fractional Euler method and Adams–Bashforth method, respectively, are provided to confirm the effectiveness of used approximation methods for different values of the fractional-order [Formula: see text].
In this paper, a new definition for the fractional order operator called the Caputo-Fabrizio (CF) fractional derivative operator without singular kernel has been numerically approximated using the two-point finite forward difference formula for the classical first-order derivative of the function f ( t ) appearing inside the integral sign of the definition of the CF operator. Thus, a numerical differentiation formula has been proposed in the present study. The obtained numerical approximation was found to be of first-order convergence, having decreasing absolute errors with respect to a decrease in the time step size h used in the approximations. Such absolute errors are computed as the absolute difference between the results obtained through the proposed numerical approximation and the exact solution. With the aim of improved accuracy, the two-point finite forward difference formula has also been utilized for the continuous temporal mesh. Some mathematical models of varying nature, including a diffusion-wave equation, are numerically solved, whereas the first-order accuracy is not only verified by the error analysis but also experimentally tested by decreasing the time-step size by one order of magnitude, whereupon the proposed numerical approximation also shows a one-order decrease in the magnitude of its absolute errors computed at the final mesh point of the integration interval under consideration.
A new Integral Transform was introduced in this paper. Fundamental properties of this transform were derived and presented such as the convolution identity, and step Heaviside function. It is proven and tested to solve some basic linear-differential equations and had succesfully solved the Abel's Generalized equation and derived the Volterra Integral Equation of the second kind by means of Initial Value Problem. The Natural Logarithm (e.g log ln e xx ) has been established and defined by means of modifying the Euler Definite Integral based on the Rangaig's fomulation. Hence, this transform may solve some different kind of integral and differential equations and it competes with other known transforms like Laplace, Sumudu and Elzaki Transform.
New atypical pneumonia caused by a virus called Coronavirus (COVID-19) appeared in Wuhan, China in December 2019. Unlike previous epidemics due to the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and the Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV), COVID-19 has the particularity that it is more contagious than the other previous ones. In this paper, we try to predict the COVID-19 epidemic peak in Japan with the help of real-time data from January 15 to February 29, 2020 with the uses of fractional derivatives, namely, Caputo derivatives, the Caputo–Fabrizio derivatives, and Atangana–Baleanu derivatives in the Caputo sense. The fixed point theory and Picard–Lindel of approach used in this study provide the proof for the existence and uniqueness analysis of the solutions to the noninteger-order models under the investigations. For each fractional model, we propose a numerical scheme as well as prove its stability. Using parameter values estimated from the Japan COVID-19 epidemic real data, we perform numerical simulations to confirm the effectiveness of used approximation methods by numerical simulations for different values of the fractional-order [Formula: see text], and to give the predictions of COVID-19 epidemic peaks in Japan in a specific range of time intervals.
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