Dengue fever, a mosquito-borne tropical disease caused by the dengue virus is life In Malaysia, although necessary control measures have been carried out, the number of dengue fever cases keeps increasing. Among the measures, dengue v be the most effective way to control the spread of the dengue virus particularly in Malaysia.The aim of this research is to study the current implementation of dengue outbreak control in Malaysia and predict dengue fever cases usi fever and weather are collected from the Ministry of Health in its Perak Tengah district office and Perak Meteorological office are applied onto these data with the performance of each technique is measured. The results highlight the best performance among techniques used.
Fuzzy techniques have been suggested as useful method for forecasting performance. However, its dependency on experts’ knowledge causes difficulties in information extraction and data collection. Therefore, to overcome the difficulties, this research proposed a new type 2 fuzzy time series (T2FTS) forecasting model. The T2FTS model was used to exploit more information in time series forecasting. The concepts of sliding window method (SWM) and fuzzy rule-based systems (FRBS) were incorporated in the utilization of T2FTS to obtain forecasting values. A sliding window method was proposed to find a proper and systematic measurement for predicting the number of class intervals. Furthermore, the weighted subsethood-based algorithm was applied in developing fuzzy IF–THEN rules, where it was later used to perform forecasting. This approach provides inferences based on how people think and make judgments. In this research, the data sets from previous studies of crude palm oil prices were used to further analyze and validate the proposed model. With suitable class intervals and fuzzy rules generated, the forecasting values obtained were more precise and closer to the actual values. The findings of this paper proved that the proposed forecasting method could be used as an alternative for improved forecasting of sustainable crude palm oil prices.
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