Sustainable development of the Arctic is the main priority of the state policy regarding regional development of the Russian Federation. The study of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation for the formation of principles, methods and strategies, as well as organizational and economic mechanisms for its sustainable development is topical at present. This article deals with one of the strategic decision-making tools used in the process of implementing the development program for the Russian Arctic, namely, the assessment of the technical and economic potential of the Arctic fields. The purpose of this assessment is to rank the fields according to the priority of their commissioning for a more optimal distribution of costs in the development of Arctic resources. This paper presents the results and methodology of technical and economic potential estimation in general, and the potential of the Arctic oil and gas fields in particular. An analysis of the conceptual apparatus in the field of the evaluation of various types of potential is carried out. The methodology for assessing the technical and economic potential of a field are investigated. The problems arising in the process of such an assessment are revealed. Recommendations for improving the methodology of assessing the technical and economic potential of oil and gas fields in the Arctic are given. The necessity of expanding the list of indicators for assessing the technical and economic potential of these fields, taking into account current trends, has been noted. A list of 10 technical and 26 economic indicators to assess the technical and economic potential of the development of offshore Arctic fields is proposed.
The article discusses the issue of developing an optimal investment plan aimed at implementing large-scale projects for the production of natural gas in Western Arctic shelf areas. It presents the results of evaluating the economic efficiency of project implementation for two possible taxation scenarios: the one based on the current tax system and the one based on a production sharing agreement (PSA). The results obtained indicate that in implementing gas projects, it is advisable to use a step-by-step multivariate system for evaluating their commercial and fiscal efficiency taking into account the planned technical and organizational measures.
Научно-информационный журнал Основан в 1998 году чл.-корр. РАН Геннадием Павловичем Лузиным Выходит 4 раза в год. Учредитель-Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Федеральный исследовательский центр «Кольский научный центр Российской академии наук»
The current stage of development of the world energy sector is characterized by high turbulence and dynamism of changes. The volatility of demand and prices for energy resources, increased competition in the global market, the evolution of the energy balance, the decrease in the role of traditional hydrocarbons and the progressive development of technological innovations significantly affect the efficiency of the implementation of the Russian gas complex in the Arctic. However, in addition to economic benefits, large-scale production of natural gas in the Arctic encompasses a wide range of issues: ensuring domestic needs for hydrocarbons and stable exports, minimizing environmental damage, organizing complex science-intensive industries and loading industrial capacities, developing transport and social infrastructure, creating new high- tech work places. In these conditions, long-term prospects and assessment of the development efficiency of complex industrial gas production complexes are determined taking into account environmental, economic, technological and social aspects. The analysis of the factors of instability of the world energy system and their influence on the efficiency of the development of gas fields in the Arctic zone was carried out. Target guidelines for the development of the Russian gas industry have been formulated in the context of national interests and priorities of socio-economic development and environmental safety. Indicators of economic development of industrial gas production complexes are proposed, takinging to account trends in the global energy market and the specifics of field development in the Arctic.
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