Анотація. У статті наведено результати статистичного аналізу активності тематичного контенту в мережі Інтернет на сегменті реальних експериментальних даних інформаційних повідомлень. Проведений аналіз довів можливість розгляду частоти появи тематичного контенту, як монотонного міандрового процесу з адитивною випадковою складовою Результати аналізу забезпечили визначення виду залежності частоти появи тематичного контенту від часу, закону розподілу випадкової складової та отримати його статистичні характеристики. Отримані результати доцільно застосовувати на етапі прогнозування розвитку інформаційних загроз. Результати статистичного аналізу показали, що частота активності тематичного контенту в мережі Інтернет має нелінійний характер, є випадковим стаціонарним процесом з явно вираженим зростаючим або спадаючим міандровим трендом.Ключові слова: контент; мережа Інтернет; статистичний аналіз; прогнозування; закон розподілу.
Abstract.The article presents the results of the statistical analysis of the thematic content of the Internet in the segment of real experimental data of information messages. The analysis proved the possibility of considering the frequency of appearance of thematic content as a monotone meander process with an additive random component. The results of the analysis provided the definition of the type of dependence of the frequency of thematic content occurrence from time, the law of the distribution and of the random component, and obtain its statistical characteristics. The obtained results should be used at the stage of forecasting the development of information threats. The results of the statistical analysis showed that the thematic content frequency on the Internet is nonlinear, is a random stationary process with a clearly pronounced rising or declining meander trend.
Development and implementation new service ways in the air traffic services system are connected with the solution of complex tasks researching the features of familiar business models of duty shift and determination the direction of their development. The purpose of the article is to analyze the existing business model of area control centers of air traffic controllers and search areas for their improvements. It is shown that insufficiently addressed issues relating to the problems of interaction between the air traffic controllers among themselves and with automation tools. In this regard, the harmonization of the business models is needed in order to research, process information and training tasks, that takes into consideration the requirements of visibility and accessibility, while maintaining the possibility of analytical and experimental studies. To improve the business model of the area control center duty shift has been proposed to add other elements into the situation detection scheme and classify the initiating situations. Conclusion. The article shows that it is rational to complement existing methods of modeling activities of air traffic controllers by structurally-algorithmic analysis method and method of generalized network models activity in order to address the research, information and training tasks. K e ywor d s : air traffic controller; area control center; duty shift; business model; network models.
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