To estimate changes in the age-and gender-specific prevalence of Paget's disease in Britain, we performed a radiographic survey of the disorder in 10 British centers, using sampling and radiographic methods identical to a study performed in 1974. In each center, a sample of abdominal radiographs of people aged 55 years and over was taken from stored films within the radiology department of the principal general hospital. The radiographs were identified by screening radiographic records over the period 1993-1995. Any abdominal radiograph in a subject aged 55 years and over which included the entire pelvis, sacrum, femoral heads, and all lumbar vertebrae was studied. The radiographs were evaluated by a trained observer and the consultant radiologist who participated in the original 1974 survey. Nine thousand eight hundred and twenty-eight radiographs (4625 men, 5203 women) were assessed in the 10 towns. The overall age/gender standardized prevalence rate was 2%, with a male/female ratio of 1.6. Prevalence increased steeply with age among men and women, rising to 6.9% of men and 5.8% of women aged 85 years and over. The prevalence of Paget's disease in the 10 towns in 1994 was only 40% of that observed during the 1974 study. The decline in prevalence was apparent in all 10 centers, but was most marked in those with high rates in the original study. This survey of Paget's disease in 10 British towns suggests a prevalence of 2.5% among men and 1.6% among women aged 55 years and over. Age-adjusted prevalence rates declined steeply between 1974 and 1994. These declines suggest an environmental contribution to the etiology of this disorder that requires further investigation. (J Bone Miner Res 1999; 14:192-197)
could not be stated with any conviction for the patients in the retrospective study, many of whom died while still hypothermic and before a definite diagnosis was made.
The prevalence of Paget's disease of bone was mapped from 1416 replies to a postal questionnaire sent to radiologists throughout Western Europe. Subsequently radiological surveys were carried out in 13 towns in nine countries. The two surveys showed a remarkable geographical distribution. The prevalence of the disease was higher in Britain than in any other Western European country. Only in France did the prevalences reach the lowest values among those previously recorded in a survey of 31 British towns. The lowest rates in any country were in Sweden and Norway. These findings have implications for the hypothesis that the disease is caused by a virus infection and suggest the existence of one or more as yet unknown cofactors.
One hundred patients undergoing cholecystectomy underwent ultrasonography of the biliary tree on the day prior to surgery. At operation a per-operative cholangiogram was performed unless stones were palpable in the duct. Pre-operative biliary ultrasonography accurately identified dilatation of the common bile duct (sensitivity 96%, specificity 95%) but was less accurate at detecting common duct stones (sensitivity 36%, specificity 98%). Thirty three percent of patients with dilated ducts on ultrasound did not have stones in the duct, while 20% of patients with common duct stones had normal sized ducts. We conclude that ultrasonography alone cannot reliably select patients who require exploration of the common bile duct, or select patients for operative cholangiography. Although pre-operative demonstration of common bile duct dilation is an absolute indication for operative cholangiography, by itself it does not indicate the need for exploration.
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