Smart district heating system (SDHS) is an important way to realize green energy saving and comfortable heating in the future, which is conducive to improving energy utilization efficiency and reducing pollution emissions. The accurate prediction algorithm of heating load plays an important role in on-demand heat supply, however, the heating load prediction is a complicated nonlinear optimization problem, and the prediction accuracy is limited due to the poor nonlinear expression ability of the traditional prediction algorithms. This paper proposes a heating load prediction model based on temporal convolutional neural network (TCN), which implements the rapid extraction of complex data features due to the integration of both the parallel feature processing of convolution neural network (CNN) and the time-domain modeling capability of recurrent neural network (RNN). The engineering data of four heat exchange stations located in Anyang, China in the 2018 heating season is used to evaluate and verify the performance of proposed prediction algorithm based on TCN, and the comprehensive comparisons with state-of-the-art algorithms, such as RFR, ETR, GBR, SVR, NuSVR, SGD, Bagging, Boosting, MLP, RNN, LSTM, etc., were analyzed carefully. The experimental results shown that the proposed heat load prediction algorithm based on TCN has performance superiority.INDEX TERMS Heat load prediction, district-heating system, temporal convolutional neural network, machine learning.
Green development is the hot spot of cold chain logistics today. Therefore, this paper converts carbon emission into carbon emission cost, comprehensively considers cargo damage, refrigeration, carbon emission, time window, and other factors, and establishes the optimization model of location of low-carbon cold chain logistics in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolitan area. Aiming at the problems of the fish swarm algorithm, this paper makes full use of the fireworks algorithm and proposes an improved fish swarm algorithm on the basis of the fireworks algorithm. By introducing the explosion, Gaussian mutation, mapping and selection operations of the fireworks algorithm, the local search ability and diversity of artificial fish are enhanced. Finally, the modified algorithm is applied to optimize the model, and the results show that the location scheme of low-carbon cold chain logistics in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolitan area with the lowest total cost can be obtained by using fireworks-artificial fish swarm algorithm.
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