Bone strength determined from finite element (FE) modelling provides an estimate of fracture healing progression following a distal radius fracture (DRF), but how these measures relate to patient-reported outcomes and functional outcomes remains unknown. We hypothesized that changes in bone stiffness and bone mineral density measured using high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography (HR-pQCT) are associated with clinically available measures of functional and patient-reported outcomes. We also aimed to identify which clinical outcome measures best predict fracture stiffness and could therefore be used to inform cast removal. Participants ( n = 30) with stable distal radius fractures were followed for two week intervals from the time of fracture until two months post-fracture, then at three months and six months post-fracture. At each follow-up, participants underwent clinical, radiographic, and functional assessments, as well as had their fractured wrist scanned using HR-pQCT. Recovery of bone stiffness during fracture healing was determined from micro-FE (μFE) models generated from HR-pQCT image data. During the DRF healing process, significant longitudinal changes were found in μFE-estimated stiffness, patient-reported outcomes, grip strength, range of motion (ROM), tenderness, number of cortices healed based on radiographs, and fracture line visibility ( p < 0.05); however, no significant change was detected in HR-pQCT based total bone mineral density. Patient-reported outcomes, such as the Patient-Rated Wrist Evaluation (PRWE) and the Quick Disability of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand (QuickDASH) questionnaire, correlated strongly with μFE-estimated stiffness (0.61 ≥ r m ≥ 0.66). Based on μFE-estimated stiffness, PRWE and QuickDASH are the best predictors of stiffness recovery ( p < 0.05) and may be used to guide duration of cast immobilization in the clinical setting.

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