This study was designed to investigate the effects of weather-controlled speed limits and signs for slippery road conditions on driver behavior on the Finnish E18 test site. Local weather and road conditions were monitored from two unmanned road weather stations. The speed limits were lowered automatically during adverse road conditions, and in some cases signs for slippery road conditions were displayed as well. Speed and headway data were obtained from loop detectors. The results showed that in winter the change of the posted speed limit from 100 km/h to 80 km/h decreased the mean speed of cars traveling in free-flow traffic by 3.4 km/h, in addition to the average mean speed reduction of 6.3 km/h caused by adverse weather and road surface conditions. When poor road conditions were difficult to detect (e.g., there was no rain or snowfall or the rain was insignificant), the effect was 1.9 km/h higher (i.e., the reduction was 5.3 km/h). When road conditions were such that signs for slippery road conditions were also displayed, the variable speed limit system reduced the mean speed by 1.8 km/h, whereas the reduction caused by the weather was 9.3 km/h. In addition to the effects on mean speed, lowering of the speed limit decreased the speed variance. There was no remarkable effect on headways. The signs decreased speeds also on the road section next to the equipped section. The main implication of the study is that the system improved traffic safety by decreasing mean speeds and speed deviation.
In recent years, Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS) have assisted in the decrease of road traffic fatalities, particularly amongst passenger car occupants. Vulnerable Road Users (VRUs) such as pedestrians, cyclists, moped riders and motorcyclists, however, have not been that much in focus when developing ITS. Therefore, there is a clear need for ITS which specifically address VRUs as an integrated element of the traffic system. This paper presents the results of a quantitative safety impact assessment of five systems that were estimated to have high potential to improve the safety of cyclists, namely: Blind Spot Detection (BSD), Bicycle to Vehicle communication (B2V), Intersection safety (INS), Pedestrian and Cyclist Detection System+Emergency Braking (PCDS+EBR) and VRU Beacon System (VBS). An ex-ante assessment method proposed by Kulmala (2010) targeted to assess the effects of ITS for cars was applied and further developed in this study to assess the safety impacts of ITS specifically designed for VRUs. The main results of the assessment showed that all investigated systems affect cyclist safety in a positive way by preventing fatalities and injuries. The estimates considering 2012 accident data and full penetration showed that the highest effects could be obtained by the implementation of PCDS+EBR and B2V, whereas VBS had the lowest effect. The estimated yearly reduction in cyclist fatalities in the EU-28 varied between 77 and 286 per system. A forecast for 2030, taking into accounts the estimated accident trends and penetration rates, showed the highest effects for PCDS+EBR and BSD.
This paper presents the results of a safety impact assessment, providing quantitative estimates of the safety impacts of ten Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS) which were designed to improve safety, mobility and comfort of vulnerable road users (VRUs). The evaluation method originally developed to assess safety impacts of ITS for cars was now adapted for assessing safety impacts of ITS for VRUs. The main results of the assessment showed that nine ITS included in the quantitative safety impact assessment affected traffic safety in a positive way by preventing fatalities and injuries. At full penetration the highest effects were obtained for Pedestrian and Cyclists Detection System + Emergency Braking (PCDS+EBR), VRU Beacon System (VBS) and Intersection Safety (INS). The estimates for PCDS+EBR showed the maximum reduction of 7.5% on all road fatalities and 4.4% on all road injuries at full penetration, which comes down to an medium estimate of around 1,900 fatalities saved per year in the EU-28 when applying the 2012 accident data and 100% penetration rate. The results regarding future scenarios showed the highest effects in number of reduced fatalities per system in the EU-28 in 2030 for PCDS+EBR (-200 fatalities), Blind Spot Detection (BSD) (-22 fatalities), INS (-20 fatalities) and VBS (-11 fatalities).
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