The catchments of Rishiganga and then Dhauliganga valleys in the Chamoli district of Uttarakhand were impacted by a catastrophic flood triggered due to a massive rockslide, caused by wedge failure on 7th February, 2021. It is estimated that the massive rockslide of * 23 million cubic meter volume containing base rock, deposited ice, and snow got detached from the northern slopes of the Trishul mountain range near Ronti Glacier and created a vertical fall of almost 1700 m before severely impacting the Ronti Gad valley located at 1.5 km downstream of Ronti Glacier snout. The huge detached mass of rock and ice (GLIMS ID: G079733E30381N) swiftly moved downstream through the glaciated valley entraining snow, debris, mud on its way, caused rapid fluidization, created massive water/slush waves, and washed away partially or completely the hydel power projects and bridges in its route. It is estimated that * 0.93 Peta Joules of potential energy led to the generation of a significant amount of kinetic and thermal energy, good enough to trigger above-mentioned processes. Post-event analysis of high-resolution satellite data shows flood water marks in the valley and on the rock outcrops reaching up to * 80-150 m height on the way to Raini Village. The mud and the slush produced through this process led to the formation of a dammed lake and temporarily blocked one of the tributaries of the Rishiganga joining from the northeast. This study provides an insight into the sequence of events as they unfolded, through multi-temporal satellite image analysis, aerial survey, seismological data in conjunction with various other geo-spatial and geo-visualization tools for unraveling the flood event that has happened on February 7, 2021. We also discuss the potential cause of rockslide and the process mechanism of this unique event, causing loss of lives and property besides widespread devastation.
The basin was calibrated through monthly discharge for the period (2002)(2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007)(2008) including 2 years as warm-up (2000-2001), after that model was validated on 5 years of hydrometeorological datasets (2009-2013) at two gauge sites located at Neemsar (upstream gauge) and Lucknow (downstream gauge). It is found that the most sensitive parameter for moisture condition II (CN2) was initial curve number. The p-factor and r-factor were obtained in calibration period at Neemsar 0.73 and 0.58 while at Lucknow values are 0.79 and 0.51, whereas in validation period values are 0.61, 0.45 and 1.22, 0.75, respectively. Three statistical parameters have been used to evaluate the SWAT model performance such as Coefficient of Determination (R 2 ), Nash-Sutcliff efficiency (NSE), percent bias (PBIAS). The NSE and R 2 values were observed as 0.85, 0.84 and 0.87, 0.86, respectively, in the time of calibration period and values is 0.76, 0.76 and 0.79, 0.83, respectively, in the time of validation period at two above said gauging stations. The PBIAS values during calibration and validation period are − 13.3, − 14.7 and − 4.0, − 15.7, respectively, at the same gauge site which indicates good model performance result.
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