Abstract. This paper describes the pre-operational analysis and forecasting system developed during MACC (Monitoring Atmospheric Composition and Climate) and continued in the MACC-II (Monitoring Atmospheric Composition and Climate: Interim Implementation) European projects to provide air quality services for the European continent. This system is based on seven state-of-the art models developed and run in Europe (CHIMERE, EMEP, EURAD-IM, LOTOS-EUROS, MATCH, MOCAGE and SILAM). These models are used to calculate multi-model ensemble products. The paper gives an overall picture of its status at the end of MACC-II (summer 2014) and analyses the performance of the multimodel ensemble. The MACC-II system provides daily 96 h forecasts with hourly outputs of 10 chemical species/aerosols (O 3 , NO 2 , SO 2 , CO, PM 10 , PM 2.5 , NO, NH 3 , total NMVOCs (non-methane volatile organic compounds) and PAN+PAN Published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union. V. Marécal et al.:A regional air quality forecasting system over Europe precursors) over eight vertical levels from the surface to 5 km height. The hourly analysis at the surface is done a posteriori for the past day using a selection of representative air quality data from European monitoring stations.The performance of the system is assessed daily, weekly and every 3 months (seasonally) through statistical indicators calculated using the available representative air quality data from European monitoring stations. Results for a case study show the ability of the ensemble median to forecast regional ozone pollution events. The seasonal performances of the individual models and of the multi-model ensemble have been monitored since September 2009 for ozone, NO 2 and PM 10 . The statistical indicators for ozone in summer 2014 show that the ensemble median gives on average the best performances compared to the seven models. There is very little degradation of the scores with the forecast day but there is a marked diurnal cycle, similarly to the individual models, that can be related partly to the prescribed diurnal variations of anthropogenic emissions in the models. During summer 2014, the diurnal ozone maximum is underestimated by the ensemble median by about 4 µg m −3 on average. Locally, during the studied ozone episodes, the maxima from the ensemble median are often lower than observations by 30-50 µg m −3 . Overall, ozone scores are generally good with average values for the normalised indicators of 0.14 for the modified normalised mean bias and of 0.30 for the fractional gross error. Tests have also shown that the ensemble median is robust to reduction of ensemble size by one, that is, if predictions are unavailable from one model. Scores are also discussed for PM 10 for winter 2013-1014. There is an underestimation of most models leading the ensemble median to a mean bias of −4.5 µg m −3 . The ensemble median fractional gross error is larger for PM 10 (∼ 0.52) than for ozone and the correlation is lower (∼ 0.35 for PM 10 and ∼ 0.54 for ...
Environment (RIVM) NO 2 lidar. We show that NO 2 from Multi-Axis Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy (MAX-DOAS) compares well with in situ measurements. We show that different MAX-DOAS instruments, operating simultaneously during the campaign, give very similar results. We also provide unique information on the spatial homogeneity and the vertical and temporal variability of NO 2 , showing that during a number of days, the NO 2 columns derived from measurements in different directions varied significantly, which implies that, under polluted conditions, measurements in one single azimuth direction are not always representative for the averaged field that the satellite observes. In addition, we show that there is good agreement between tropospheric NO 2 from OMI and MAX-DOAS, and also between total NO 2 from OMI and directsun observations. Observations of the aerosol optical thickness (AOT) show that values derived with three ground-based instruments correspond well with each other, and with aerosol optical thicknesses observed by OMI.
[1] The Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) multiwavelength algorithm has been developed to retrieve aerosol optical depth using OMI-measured reflectance at the top of the atmosphere. This algorithm was further developed by using surface reflectance data from a field campaign in Cabauw (The Netherlands), a new cloud-screening method, and a global aerosol database derived from the aerosol transport model TM5. The first results from an application of this algorithm over western Europe are presented. The OMIretrieved aerosol optical depth is evaluated by comparison with both ground-based measurements from Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite data. The various aerosol optical depth values compare favorably, except in situations where large changes occur in the surface properties, which is illustrated over the Iberian peninsula. OMI and MODIS aerosol optical depth are well correlated (with a correlation coefficient of 0.66 over land and 0.79 over sea), although the multiwavelength algorithm appears to overestimate the aerosol optical depth values with respect to MODIS. The multiwavelength algorithm performs better over sea than over land. Qualitatively, the multiwavelength algorithm well reproduces the expected spatial aerosol optical depth gradient over western Europe.Citation: Curier, R. L., J. P. Veefkind, R. Braak, B. Veihelmann, O. Torres, and G. de Leeuw (2008), Retrieval of aerosol optical properties from OMI radiances using a multiwavelength algorithm: Application to western Europe,
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