AbstrakPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh volatilitas nilai tukar terhadap permintaan eksport di negara Kawasan ASEAN 3 yaitu Indonesia, Thailand dan Filipina. Dalam penelitian ini menggunakan metode Error Correction Model (ECM) Domawitz-Elbadawi untuk mengatahui bagaimana pengaruh variabel dependen terhadap variabel independen dalam jangka pendek maupun dalam jangka panjang. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini merupakan data skunder yang meliputi data Nilai tukar, CPI (Consumer Price Index), FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) dan Eksport dari tahun 1997Q1-2016Q3. Hasil menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka pendek volatilitas nilai tukar berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap permintaan eksport pada negara Indonesia sedangkan untuk negara Filipina dan Thailand Volatilitas nilai tukar berpengaruh negatif tetapi tidak signifikan. Dalam jangka panjang volatilitas nilai tukar berpengaruh negatif tetapi tidak signifikan terhadap permintaan eksport di negara Indonesia dan Thailand sedangkan di negara Filipina volatilitas nilai tukar berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap permintaan eksport. Untuk memicu peningkatan ekspor di negara kawasan ASEAN 3 maka diperlukan kebijakan nilai tukar. Kata Kunci: Nilai tukar, Export dan (ECM) Domawitz-Elbadawi. AbstractThis study aims to determine the effect of exchange rate volatility on export demand in ASEAN 3 countries namely Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines. In this research use Error Correction Model (ECM) Domawitz-Elbadawi method to know how dependent variable influence to independent variable in short term and in long term. The data used in this study is secondary data covering data exchange rate, CPI (Consumer Price Index), FDI (Foreig Direct Investment) and Export from 1997Q1-2016Q3. The results show that in the short run the exchange rate volatility has a negative and significant effect on export demand in the country of Indonesia while for the Philippines and Thailand the exchange rate volatility has a negative but insignificant effect. In the long term, exchange rate volatility has negative but not significant effect on export demand in Indonesia and Thailand, while in Philippine, exchange rate volatility has positive and significant effect on export demand. It shows the importance of exchange rate policy in improving Indonesia's export performance.

AbstrakPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui bagaimana keragaman konsumsi keluarga TKI dan keluarga Non TKI, dan seberapa besar pengaruh remiten terhadap konsumsi keluarga TKI yang meliputi konsumsi belanja modal, konsumsi pangan, konsumsi non pangan dan konsumsi total. Serta seberapa besar pengaruh pendapatan terhadap konsumsi keluarga Non TKI yang meliputi konsumsi belanja modal, konsumsi pangan, konsumsi non pangan, dan konsumsi total. Untuk mencapai tujuan tersebut digunakan data primer yang diperoleh langsung dari tempat penelitian. Metode analisis yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah adalah Analisis Regresi Linier Sederhana. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa variabel remiten memiliki pengaruh positif terhadap konsumsi belanja modal, konsumsi pangan, konsumsi non pangan, dan konsumsi total keluarga TKI. Variabel remiten juga memiliki pengaruh yang signifikan terhadap konsumsi belanja modal, konsumsi pangan, konsumsi non pangan, dan konsumsi total keluarga TKI. Variabel pendapatan memiliki pengaruh positif terhadap konsumsi belanja modal, konsumsi pangan, konsumsi non pangan, dan konsumsi total keluaega Non TKI. Dan varaibel pendapatan juga memiliki pengaruh yang signifikan terhadap konsumsi belanja modal, konsumsi pangan, konsumsi non pangan, dan konsumsi total keluarga Non TKI. AbstractThis study aims to find out how the diversity of family consumption of migrant workers and non migrant workers, and how much influence the remittance to the consumption of family of migrant workers covering consumption of capital expenditure, food consumption, non-food consumption and total consumption. And how much influence the income on the consumption of non-migrant family which includes consumption of capital expenditure, food consumption, non-food consumption, and total consumption. To achieve these objectives used primary data obtained directly from the place of study. The method of analysis used in this research is Simple Linear Regression Analysis. The results of this study indicate that remittance variable has a positive influence on consumption of capital expenditure, food consumption, non-food consumption, and total consumption of families of migrant workers. And remittance variables also have a significant influence on consumption of capital expenditure, food consumption, non-food consumption, and total consumption of families of migrant workers.. The income variable has a positive effect on consumption of capital expenditure, food consumption, non-food consumption, and total consumption of Non-migrant family workers. And income variables also have a significant effect on consumption of capital expenditure, food consumption, non-food consumption, and total consumption of Non-migrant family workers.

Unemployment is a major problem in macroeconomics. The study aims to determine the effect Rate of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GDP), Population, and the regional minimum wage (UMR) of the Unemployment Rate in East Java. Analysis method used in this research is panel data regression with fixed effect model approach (FEM). This study uses secondary data from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS). The data used in this research are open unemployment rate, GDP rate, population, regional minimum wage in Provinsi of East Java in 2006-2014. Based on the analysis, it can be seen that the variable rate of the GDP, and the local minimum wage and a significant negative effect on the variable Unemployment Rate in East Java province. Variable population no significant and negative effect on the variable unemployment rate in East Java Province.The results of this study indicate that the variable rate of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GDP) has a significant influence based on it is expected that the government can support investment in the small and medium enterprise sector.Keywords: Unemployment Rate, Rate of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GDP), Population, Regional Minimum Wage (UMR)