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In this study, multi-linear regression (MLR) approach is used to construct intermittent reservoir daily inflow forecasting system. To illustrate the applicability and effect of using lumped and distributed input data in MLR approach, Koyna river watershed in Maharashtra, India is chosen as a case study. The results are also compared with autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models. MLR attempts to model the relationship between two or more independent variables over a dependent variable by fitting a linear regression equation. The main aim of the present study is to see the consequences of development and applicability of simple models, when sufficient data length is available. Out of 47 years of daily historical rainfall and reservoir inflow data, 33 years of data is used for building the model and 14 years of data is used for validating the model. Based on the observed daily rainfall and reservoir inflow, various types of time-series, cause-effect and combined models are developed using lumped and distributed input data. Model performance was evaluated using various performance criteria and it was found that as in the present case, of well correlated input data, both lumped and distributed MLR models perform equally well. For the present case study considered, both MLR and ARIMA models performed equally sound due to availability of large dataset.

Domain-specific knowledge is often recorded by experts in the form of unstructured text. For example, in the medical domain, clinical notes from electronic health records contain a wealth of information. Similar practices are found in other domains. The challenge we discuss in this paper is how to identify and extract part names from technicians repair notes, a noisy unstructured text data source from General Motors' archives of solved vehicle repair problems, with the goal to develop a robust and dynamic reasoning system to be used as a repair adviser by service technicians.In the present work, we discuss two approaches to this problem. We present an algorithm for ontology-guided entity disambiguation that uses existing knowledge sources such as domain-specific ontologies and other structured data. We illustrate its use in automotive domain, using GM parts ontology and the unit structure of repair manuals text to build context models, which are then used to disambiguate mentions of part-related entities in the text. We also describe extraction of part names with a small amount of annotated data using Hidden Markov Models (HMM) with shrinkage, achieving an f-score of approximately 80%. Next we used linear-chain Conditional Random Fields (CRF) in order to model observation dependencies present in the repair notes. Using CRF did not lead to improved performance, but a slight improvement over the HMM results was obtained by using a weighted combination of the HMM and CRF models.

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