Surface water quality is degraded due to industrialization; however, it is one of the widely used sources for water supply systems worldwide. Thus, the polluted water creates significant issues for the health of the end users. However, poor attention and concern can be identified on this important issue in most developing countries, including Sri Lanka. The Kelani River in Sri Lanka is the heart of the water supply of the whole Colombo area and has the water intake for drinking purposes near an industrialized zone (Biyagama). Therefore, this study intends to analyze the effect of industrialization on surface water quality variation of the Kelani River basin in Sri Lanka in terms of the water quality index (WQI). We proposed a regression model to predict the WQI using the water quality parameters. Nine water quality parameters, including pH, total phosphate, electric conductivity, biochemical oxygen demand, temperature, nitrates, dissolved oxygen, chemical oxygen demand, and chlorine evaluated the Kelani River water quality. The proposed regression model was used to examine the water quality of samples obtained at twelve locations from January 2005 to December 2012. The highest WQI values were found in Raggahawatte Ela throughout the 8 years, located near the Biyagama industrial zone. The relationship of industries to water quality in the Kelani River is stated. The surface water quality gradually decreased as a result of development and industrialized activities. Therefore, this work showcases and recommends the importance of introducing necessary actions and considerations for future water management systems.
Soil degradation is a serious environmental issue in many regions of the world, and Sri Lanka is not an exception. Maha Oya River Basin (MORB) is one of the major river basins in tropical Sri Lanka, which suffers from regular soil erosion and degradation. The current study was designed to estimate the soil erosion associated with land use changes of the MORB. The Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) was used in calculating the annual soil erosion rates, while the Geographic Information System (GIS) was used in mapping the spatial variations of the soil erosion hazard over a 30-year period. Thereafter, soil erosion hotspots in the MORB were also identified. The results of this study revealed that the mean average soil loss from the MORB has substantially increased from 2.81 t ha−1 yr−1 in 1989 to 3.21 t ha−1 yr−1 in 2021, which is an increment of about 14.23%. An extremely critical soil erosion-prone locations (average annual soil loss > 60 t ha−1 yr−1) map of the MORB was developed for the year 2021. The severity classes revealed that approximately 4.61% and 6.11% of the study area were in high to extremely high erosion hazard classes in 1989 and 2021, respectively. Based on the results, it was found that the extreme soil erosion occurs when forests and vegetation land are converted into agricultural and bare land/farmland. The spatial analysis further reveals that erosion-prone soil types, steep slope areas, and reduced forest/vegetation cover in hilly mountain areas contributed to the high soil erosion risk (16.56 to 91.01 t ha−1 yr−1) of the MORB. These high soil erosional areas should be prioritized according to the severity classes, and appropriate land use/land cover (LU/LC) management and water conservation practices should be implemented as recommended by this study to restore degraded lands.
Hydrologic models are indispensable tools for water resource planning and management. Accurate model predictions are critical for better water resource development and management decisions. Single-site model calibration and calibrating a watershed model at the watershed outlet are commonly adopted strategies. In the present study, for the first time, a multi-site calibration for the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) in the Kelani River Basin with a catchment area of about 2340 km2 was carried out. The SWAT model was calibrated at five streamflow gauging stations, Deraniyagala, Kithulgala, Holombuwa, Glencourse, and Hanwella, with drainage areas of 183, 383, 155, 1463, and 1782 km2, respectively, using three distinct calibration strategies. These strategies were, utilizing (1) data from downstream and (2) data from upstream, both categorized here as single-site calibration, and (3) data from downstream and upstream (multi-site calibration). Considering the performance of the model during the calibration period, which was examined using the statistical indices R2 and NSE, the model performance at Holombuwa was upgraded from “good” to “very good” with the multi-site calibration technique. Simultaneously, the PBIAS at Hanwella and Kithulgala improved from “unsatisfactory” to “satisfactory” and “satisfactory” to “good” model performance, while the RSR improved from “good” to “very good” model performance at Deraniyagala, indicating the innovative multi-site calibration approach demonstrated a significant improvement in the results. Hence, this study will provide valuable insights for hydrological modelers to determine the most appropriate calibration strategy for their large-scale watersheds, considering the spatial variation of the watershed characteristics, thereby reducing the uncertainty in hydrologic predictions.
Climate change has had a significant impact on the tourism industry in many countries, leading to changes in policies and adaptations to attract more visitors. However, there are few studies on the effects of climate change on Sri Lanka’s tourism industry and income, despite its importance as a destination for tourists. A study was conducted to analyze the holiday climate index (HCI) for Sri Lanka’s urban and beach destinations to address this gap. The analysis covered historical years (2010–2018) and forecasted climatic scenarios (2021–2050 and 2071–2100), and the results were presented as colored maps to highlight the importance of HCI scores. Visual analysis showed some correlation between HCI scores and tourist arrivals, but the result of the overall correlation analysis was not significant. However, a country-specific correlation analysis revealed interesting findings, indicating that the changing climate can be considered among other factors that impact tourist arrivals. The research proposes that authorities assess the outcomes of the study and conduct further research to develop adaptive plans for Sri Lanka’s future tourism industry. The study also investigated potential scenarios for beach and urban destinations under two climate scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) for the near and far future, presenting the findings to tourism industry stakeholders for any necessary policy changes. As Sri Lanka expects more Chinese visitors in the future due to ongoing development projects, this study could be valuable for policymakers and industry stakeholders when adapting to changing climate and future tourist behavior. While more research is needed to fully understand the effects of climate change on Sri Lanka’s tourism industry, this study serves as a starting point for future investigations.
Evapotranspiration estimations are not common in developing countries though most of them have water scarcities for agricultural purposes. Therefore, it is essential to estimate the rates of evapotranspiration based on the available climatic parameters. Proper estimations of evapotranspiration are unavailable to Sri Lanka, even though the country has a significant agricultural contribution to its economy. Therefore, the Shuttleworth–Wallace (S-W) model, a process-based two-source potential evapotranspiration (PET) model, is implemented to simulate the spatiotemporal distribution of PET, evaporation from soil (ETs), and transpiration from vegetation canopy (ETc) across the total landmass of Sri Lanka. The country was divided into a grid with 6 k m × 6 k m cells. The meteorological data, including rainfall, temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, net solar radiation, and pan evaporation, for 14 meteorological stations were used in this analysis. They were interpolated using Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW), Universal kriging, and Thiessen polygon methods as appropriate so that the generated thematic layers were fairly closer to reality. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and soil moisture data were retrieved from publicly available online domains, while the threshold values of vegetation parameters were taken from the literature. Notwithstanding many approximations and uncertainties associated with the input data, the implemented model displayed an adequate ability to capture the spatiotemporal distribution of PET and its components. A comparison between predicted PET and recorded pan evaporations resulted in a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.75 mm/day. The model showed high sensitivity to Leaf Area Index (LAI). The model revealed that both spatial and temporal distribution of PET is highly correlated with the incoming solar radiation fluxes and affected by the rainfall seasons and cultivation patterns. The model predicted PET values accounted for 80–90% and 40–60% loss of annual mean rainfall, respectively, in the drier and wetter parts of the country. The model predicted a 0.65 ratio of annual transpiration to annual evapotranspiration.
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