Evapotranspiration estimations are not common in developing countries though most of them have water scarcities for agricultural purposes. Therefore, it is essential to estimate the rates of evapotranspiration based on the available climatic parameters. Proper estimations of evapotranspiration are unavailable to Sri Lanka, even though the country has a significant agricultural contribution to its economy. Therefore, the Shuttleworth–Wallace (S-W) model, a process-based two-source potential evapotranspiration (PET) model, is implemented to simulate the spatiotemporal distribution of PET, evaporation from soil (ETs), and transpiration from vegetation canopy (ETc) across the total landmass of Sri Lanka. The country was divided into a grid with 6 k m × 6 k m cells. The meteorological data, including rainfall, temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, net solar radiation, and pan evaporation, for 14 meteorological stations were used in this analysis. They were interpolated using Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW), Universal kriging, and Thiessen polygon methods as appropriate so that the generated thematic layers were fairly closer to reality. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and soil moisture data were retrieved from publicly available online domains, while the threshold values of vegetation parameters were taken from the literature. Notwithstanding many approximations and uncertainties associated with the input data, the implemented model displayed an adequate ability to capture the spatiotemporal distribution of PET and its components. A comparison between predicted PET and recorded pan evaporations resulted in a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.75 mm/day. The model showed high sensitivity to Leaf Area Index (LAI). The model revealed that both spatial and temporal distribution of PET is highly correlated with the incoming solar radiation fluxes and affected by the rainfall seasons and cultivation patterns. The model predicted PET values accounted for 80–90% and 40–60% loss of annual mean rainfall, respectively, in the drier and wetter parts of the country. The model predicted a 0.65 ratio of annual transpiration to annual evapotranspiration.
This study assessed the meteorological and hydrological droughts and their relationship over 30 years from 1985 to 2015 in the largest river basin (Mahaweli River Basin (MRB)) in Sri Lanka. Data from 14 rainfall, 5 temperature, and 5 streamflow stations in and near the MRB were used in the present study. Universal drought indices including Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) were used to assess meteorological droughts. The Standardized Streamflow Index (SSI) was used in investigating hydrological droughts. Correlations between meteorological and hydrological droughts were obtained, annual variations were observed (in terms of SPI, SPEI, and SSI), and the spatial distributions of selected drought events were analyzed. Our results revealed that the highest correlation was found in long-term dry conditions in the wet zone. In addition, some negative correlations found showed the opposite behavior of correlations. Furthermore, in annual variations of droughts, extreme droughts were recorded in the dry zone as maximum values, while results were more prominent in the wet zone. In addition, the spatial distribution performed using SPI, SPEI, and SSI showed an extremely dry condition in 2004. Our findings are beneficial for policymaking and for the decision-makers in assessing meteorological and hydrological drought risks in the future.
The world is experiencing adverse consequences of climate change and shifts in climate regimes. Hence, studying the trends and patterns of meteorological variables is of major importance for many parties, including meteorologists, climatologists, agriculturists, and hydrologists. Although several researchers have examined the trends and patterns in historical rainfall, only a few have examined the trends in atmospheric temperature. Noteworthy none of the previous studies have attempted to investigate trends in relative humidity over Sri Lanka. Therefore, identifying the existing research gap, this paper presents trends and variability analysis of atmospheric temperature and relative humidity of Sri Lanka. The long-term variations of minimum and maximum temperature and relative humidity records at 18 stations distributed in the three climatic zones namely, the dry zone, the intermediate zone, and the wet zone in Sri Lanka were investigated for 30 years from 1990 to 2019. Annual and monthly trends were assessed using non-parametric statistical tests, including the Mann Kendall test (MK), Sen’s slope, and Spearman’s rho test, while the changing points of temperature and humidity were determined using the Pettit test. In addition, the variability of climate parameters was estimated using the Coefficient of Variation (CoV). Interesting and encouraging results were obtained from the present analysis. Badulla in the intermediate climatic zone was identified with unexpected decreasing temperature trends, while several other areas were identified with expected increasing temperature and relative humidity trends. The adaptation practices based on these results would be interesting to incorporate in achieving sustainable development goals for the country.
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