The article's purpose was to model the assessment of the associated impact of migration and economic of Azerbaijan. The indicators of the correlation between the intensity of migration and economic growth have been substantiated. Using the Granger test, the cause-and-effect relationships of migration and the country's economic development were determined. Based on the identified relationships, a polymodal complex has been built, consisting of regression models, which reflect the nature of the mutual influence between socio-economic development indicators and the intensity of migration in Azerbaijan. The hands' number of immigrants and emigrants in Azerbaijan for 2024 has been predicted considering the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. The optimal ratio between the number of immigrants and emigrants was determined by linear optimization, ensuring GDP per capita in Azerbaijan at the level of modern economic development. The results obtained can serve as a basis for the development of a compelling state migration policy.

With increasing non-constructive urbanization in Azerbaijan, there is a need to study the features of internal migration in the country. This study aims to identify the fundamental factors that underlie internal migration in the country's agriculture sector. A survey of 3498 agricultural workers from regions in Azerbaijan and the probit-model method have been used to group the factors that determine internal migration activity in this industry. The most significant factor in deciding on migration is the ratio of individual human capital development to the region's standard of living. Complementary factors of a directly proportional impact on internal migration in agriculture, in order of priority, are personal and professional mobility, infrastructural development of the region, and development of healthcare and education in the area. The study's results can help improve the effectiveness of the country's agricultural development strategy and urbanization management.