The coordinated development of the economy, resources, and environment is a key aspect of sustainable development. China’s rapid agricultural modernization has been accompanied by the continuous growth of rural economic aggregate and carbon emissions from the planting industry. However, the quantitative relationship between these two factors and its internal mechanism are not yet fully understood. In this paper, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) method is used to calculate the carbon emissions of the planting industry in China from 1998–2019. Based on this, the Tapio decoupling analysis model was constructed to study the decoupling relationship between economic development and carbon emissions of the planting industry in China from 1998–2019 and the associated spatial and temporal evolution patterns. The effect of the complete decomposition model (without residuals), in terms of carbon emissions from the planting industry, on the process of economic development and its transmission mechanism are introduced. The results show that: (1) The carbon emissions of the planting industry in China increased with the economic development occurring from 1998–2005, where agricultural economic development was highly dependent on resource factors and the environment. The growth trend of carbon emissions of the planting industry slowed from 2006 to 2019, while economic development has gradually realized the decoupling of carbon emissions from the planting industry. (2) From 1998–2019, in Heilongjiang, Sichuan, and Hunan, the economic development was given priority, showing strong and negative decoupling with carbon emissions from farming. The economic development in most regions were given priority, showing strong decoupling with carbon emissions from farming. Up to 2019, decoupling was observed with a significant trend of spatial agglomeration. (3) Economic scale effects had a positive influence on the carbon emissions of the planting industry, while the technology effect and population effect had an inhibiting influence on the carbon emissions of the planting industry. The key policy implication of this paper is that improvement of the quality of economic development serves as the premise for the transformation of the economic development mode. It is necessary to reasonably regulate the economic growth rate and expansion scale, reduce resource consumption and pollutant emission technology, and to make full use of resources, in order to provide a basis for the formulation of reasonable emission reduction policies. An effective way to realize the sustainable development of the agricultural economy would be to improve the technical efficiency, control the population scale appropriately, and optimize the agricultural industrial structure.

High-quality economic development is an important approach for achieving sustainable economic development, and it is an essential condition for coordinated development between economic systems and ecosystems. This paper starts from five key points, namely, “innovation, coordination, opening-up, sharing and greenness”, to construct an evaluation system for the index of high-quality economic development, using the AHP and EVM methods to measure the level of high-quality economic development of 30 regions in China from 2004 to 2019. It uses the kernel density estimation model (hereinafter referred to briefly as KDE) and clustering method to analyze time evolution trends and spatial variation characteristics. Moreover, the LSE model is adopted to explore and analyze the factors influencing high-quality economic development in different regions. Additionally, the driving forces of China’s high-quality economic development are analyzed by means of path analysis combined with the average value of each index. The results show the following: (1) The high-quality economic development of 30 regions in China (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan and Tibet) is spatially clustered, with obviously different development levels, characterized by the eastern region being better developed than the central and western regions. (2) With the passage of time, the polarization of China’s 30 regions has been alleviated, but they are still facing challenging development situations; (3) The factors affecting the high-quality economic development of these 30 regions in China can be divided into four types: three-factors, four-factors-I, four-factors-II and five-factors. Contributing regional factors show different distribution characteristics. The above conclusion provides a reference and scientific basis for the government to formulate policies of high-quality economic development and to solve problems facing coordinated sustainable development among regional societies, their economies and the environment.

This study explores the level of rural water shortage risk from the perspective of disaster risk and poverty. Based on related causes and characteristics, we quantitatively analyze the water shortage risk in rural China during 1997-2019.

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