Bayesian analysis of time-to-event data, usually called survival analysis, has received increasing attention in the last years. In Cox-type models it allows to use information from the full likelihood instead of from a partial likelihood, so that the baseline hazard function and the model parameters can be jointly estimated. In general, Bayesian methods permit a full and exact posterior inference for any parameter or predictive quantity of interest. On the other side, Bayesian inference often relies on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques which, from the user point of view, may appear slow at delivering answers. In this paper, we show how a new inferential tool named Integrated Nested Laplace approximations (INLA) can be adapted and applied to many survival models making Bayesian analysis both fast and accurate without having to rely on MCMC based inference.

Women with low and medium education level and single mothers had the highest smoking prevalence and the lowest decline over the two time periods. These groups constitute 45% of our study population, the relatively high maternal smoking in these groups continues to be of public health concern for maternal and child health.

Background: Medical abortion with mifepristone and misoprostol was introduced in Norway in 1998, and since then there has been an almost complete change from predominantly surgical to medical abortions. We aimed to describe the medical abortion implementation process, and to compare characteristics of women obtaining medical and surgical abortion. Methods: Information from all departments of obstetrics and gynaecology in Norway on the time of implementation of medical abortion and abortion procedures in use up to 12 weeks of gestation was assessed by surveys in 2008 and 2012. We also analysed data from the National Abortion Registry comprising 223 692 women requesting abortion up to 12 weeks of gestation during 1998-2013. Results: In 2012, all hospitals offered medical abortion, 84.4% offered medical abortion at 9-12 weeks of gestation and 92.1% offered home administration of misoprostol. The use of medical abortion increased from 5.9% of all abortions in 1998 to 82.1% in 2013. Compared with women having a surgical abortion, women obtaining medical abortion had higher odds for undergoing an abortion at 4-6 weeks (adjusted OR 2.33; 95% confidence interval 2.28-2.38). Waiting time between registered request for an abortion until termination was reduced from 11.3 days in 1998 to 7.3 days in 2013. Conclusions: Norwegian women have gained access to more treatment modalities and simplified protocols for medical abortion. At the same time they obtained abortions at an earlier gestational age and the waiting time has been reduced.

Increasing educational level associated with better prognosis suggesting underlying education-related behavioral and medical determinants of mortality. A considerable proportion of mortality within 5 years following hospital discharge could be prevented.

Egeland GM, Akerkar R, Kv ale R, Sulo G, Tell GS, Bakken IJ, Ebbing M (). Hospitalised patients with unexplained chest pain: incidence and prognosis. J Intern Med 2019; 286: 562-572.Background. The prognosis of unexplained chest pain patients provides valuable information for evaluation of health services.Objective. To examine prognosis of unexplained chest pain.Methods. Using data from in-and outpatient hospital visits in Norway of patients discharged with a main diagnosis of unexplained chest pain (ICD-10: R072-R074) in 2010-2012, the 1-year incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD), any cardio-vascular disease (CVD) and mortality was evaluated. Cases with prior 2-year history of CVD or chest pain were excluded. Cox proportional hazards evaluated outcomes by patient characteristics and standardized mortality ratios evaluated observed versus expected mortality.Results. Of 59 569 patients identified (20-89 years of age), the majority (86%) were referred to hospital by out-of-hours emergency care centres. Subsequent CHD was noted for 12.5%, 19.5% and 25.0% of men and 7.2%, 11.0%, 14.0% of women aged 45-64, 65-74 and 75-89 years, respectively. The per cent of deaths attributed to CVD were greatest within the first 2 months of postdischarge. Total mortality rates (per 1000 person-years) were 6.6 in men and 4.7 in women aged 45-64 and 69.2 in men and 39.5 in women aged 75-89 years. Relative to the general population, mortality was 53% and 45% higher for men and women under 65 years of age, respectively, attributed primarily to non-CVD causes.Conclusion. Patients in Norway discharged with unexplained chest pain are an at-risk group in terms of incident CHD, any CVD and mortality, including non-CVD mortality during the first-year postdischarge. The results suggest that unexplained chest pain patients may benefit from greater healthcare coordination between medical disciplines.