Abstract

Stocks are one of the aspects that affect the economy in the world. In the stock market, the price of a stock changes every time. Investors who are able to predict the increase in stock prices will tend to get profit, but investors who are unable to predict the increase in stock prices will tend to experience losses. This study aims to find statistical models and use them to predict the probability of an increase in the price of a stock in the stock market. The method used in this study is a literature study regarding stochastic models and selected suitable stochastic models. This study finds stochastic models and uses them to predict the probability of an increase in stock prices. The novelty in this research lies in the stochastic model triangulation. The increase in stock prices is predicted using two stochastic models, namely: Bernoulli and autoregressive. The decision on stock prediction is determined by the results of the triangulation of the two methods. The proposed method in this study has the advantage that decision making is based on more than one stochastic model. The results of this study can be applied to the financial sector, especially in the stock market.

Sistem tanam (ST) yang sering digunakan petani yaitu ST tegel. Sampai sekarang masih banyak petani yang menggunakan bibit lebih dari tujuh batang per lubang tanam (BpLT). Tujuan penelitian adalah untuk mempelajari respon tanaman padi terhadap  ST dan jumlah bibit per lubang tanam (JBpLT). Penelitian dilakukan di Desa Raman Aji, Kecamatan Raman Utara, Lampung Timur pada bulan Februari sampai Mei 2016.  Perlakuan disusun dalam Rancangan Kelompok Teracak Lengkap dengan pola split plot.  Petak utama adalah ST jarwo 2:1, ST Jarwo 4:1, dan ST tegel 25 x 25 cm. Anak petak terdiri atas JBpLT: 1 BpLT, 2 BpLT, dan 3 BpLT. Data dianalisis ragam dan dilanjutkan uji orthogonal  kontras, semua pengujian dilakukan pada taraf 5%.  Hasil percobaan menunjukkan bahwa (1) ST jarwo 2:1 dan ST jarwo 4:1 meningkatkan pertumbuhan padi hibrida Mapan P-05 dibandingkan ST tegel 25 x 25 cm, (2) penanaman 1 BpLT meningkatkan komponen hasil padi dibandingkan penanaman 2 BpLT dan 3 BpLT, dan (3) penanaman 1 BpLT memberikan hasil GKG (6,86 t ha-1) yang lebih tinggi dari penanaman 2 BpLT (5,64 t ha-1) dan 3 BpLT (4,59 t ha-1) pada ST jarwo 2:1, ST jarwo 4:1 dan ST tegel 25 x 25 cm, secara berurutan.AbstractThe common planting system (PS) used by the farmers is Tegel system. Yet, many farmers still use more than seven seeds per planting hole (SpPH). The research objective was to study the reponse of rice plants to the planting system and the number SpPH. The research was conducted in Raman Aji Village, Raman Utara, East Lampung from February to May 2016. The treatments were arranged in a RCBD with a split plot pattern (the main plot were the PS i.e. jarwo 2: 1, jarwo 4: 1 and “Tegel” 25 x 25 cm; the subplots are the number of SpPH i.e. 1 SpPH, 2 SpPH, and 3 SpPH). The results showed that (1) the jarwo 2: 1 system increased rice growth compared to the 25 x 25 cm “Tegel”; (2) application of 1 SpPH increased the yield  component  of rice compared to planting 2 SpPH and SpPH; and (3) application of 1 SpPH (6.86 t ha-1) gave the higher weight of milled grain than using 2 SpPH (5.64 t ha-1) and 3 SpPH (4.59 t ha-1), both planted in the jarwo 2:1, jarwo 4:1 and 25 x 25 cm  “Tegel” System

This study discusses the implementation of conditional leave (CL) in fulfilling prisoners' physical and phsychological need of  prisoners from Islamic law perspectives. This study used qualitative method with data collection techniques through observation, indepth-interviews and written material analysis. Data was analysed through data reduction, presentation, verification, and drawing conclusions. The results of the study show that obligatory livelihoods for husbands with prisoner status was fulfilled through the efforts made by inmates such as a business that is still moving and producing that can be used by the wife to meet needs. Less implemented, this is based on the still potential of prisoners to provide for their wives needs through the provision of relatives even though the fulfillment of the quality of living needs is not optimal. While the fulfillment of the psychological needs  supported  by inmates, namely giving love, education, and distribution of sexual desires, in the form of face-to-face and joking with his wife, while channeling sexual desires in the effort to fulfill the inner living is rarely done except for prisoners getting conditional leave (CL) ). The livelihood of the husband who is undergoing a period of punishment is not contrary to Islamic law, although on one hand the status remains as a family head who has obligations that must be fulfilled. Islam views this with three legal stipulations, the first is the obligation to make a living, the second is the obligation to earn a living and the third is the obligation to make a living fall.

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk meningkatkan hasil belajar siswa pada pelajaran IPS tema 8 jenis usaha masyarakat Indonesia melalui melalui model pembelajaran picture and picture siswa kelas Va MIN 2 Baubau. Jenis penelitian ini adalah penelitian tindakan kelas yang setiap siklusnya terdiri 4 tahap yaitu tahap perencanaan, pelaksanaan, observasi, refleksi. Subjek penelitian yang dipilih yaitu siswa kelas Va MIN 2 Baubau pada semester genap tahun pelajaran 2021/2022 yang berjumlah 12 siswa yang terdiri dari 4 siswa laki-laki dan 8iswi perempuan. Teknik pengumpulan data yang digunakan yaitu observasi, lembar tes, wawancara dan dokumentasi. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian siklus I dan siklus II diperoleh hasil ini untuk menujukkan terjadi peningkatan hasil belajar, yakni hasil tes siklus I ada 7 siswa yang tuntas (58%) dan tidak tuntas 5 siswa (42%). Hasil belajar siswa pada siklus II yang tuntas sebanyak 11 siswa  (92%) dan tidak tuntas ada 1 siswa (8%). Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa dengan menggunakan model pembelajaran picture and picture  dapat meningkatkan hasil belajar siswa dari siklus 1 dan siklus II.