Railway track maintenance plays an important role in enabling safe, reliable, and seamless train operations and passenger comfort. Due to the increasing rail transportation, rolling stocks tend to run faster and the load tends to increase continuously. As a result, the track deteriorates quicker, and maintenance needs to be performed more frequently. However, more frequent maintenance activities do not guarantee a better overall performance of the railway system. It is crucial for rail infrastructure managers to optimize predictive and preventative maintenance. This study is the world’s first to develop deep machine learning models using three-dimensional recurrent neural network-based co-simulation models to predict track geometry parameters in the next year. Different recurrent neural network-based techniques are used to develop predictive models. In addition, a building information modeling (BIM) model is developed to integrate and cross-functionally co-simulate the track geometry measurement with the prediction for predictive and preventative maintenance purposes. From the study, the developed BIM models can be used to exchange information for predictive maintenance. Machine learning models provide the average R2 of 0.95 and the average mean absolute error of 0.56 mm. The insightful breakthrough demonstrates the potential of machine learning and BIM for predictive maintenance, which can promote the safety and cost effectiveness of railway maintenance.
Railway maintenance is a complex and complicated task in the railway industry due to the number of its components and relationships. Ineffective railway maintenance results in excess cost, defective railway structure and components, longer possession time, poorer safety, and lower passenger comfort. Of the three main maintenance approaches, predictive maintenance is the trendy one, and is proven that it provides the highest efficiency. However, the implementation of predictive maintenance for the railway industry cannot be done without an efficient tool. Normally, railway maintenance is corrective when some things fail or preventive when maintenance is routine. A novel approach using an integration between deep reinforcement learning and digital twin is proposed in this study to improve the efficiency of railway maintenance which other techniques such as supervised and unsupervised learning cannot provide. In the study, Advantage Actor Critic (A2C) is used to develop a reinforcement learning model and agent to fulfill the need of the study. Real-world field data over four years and 30 km. is obtained and applied for developing the reinforcement learning model. Track geometry parameters, railway component defects, and maintenance activities are used as parameters to develop the reinforcement learning model. Rewards (or penalties) are calculated based on maintenance costs and occurring defects. The new breakthrough exhibits that using reinforcement learning integrated with digital twin can reduce maintenance activities by 21% and reduce the occurring defects by 68%. Novelties of the study are the use of A2C which is faster and provides better results than other traditional techniques such as Deep Q-learning (DQN), each track geometry parameter is considered without combining into a track quality index, filed data are used to develop the reinforcement learning model, and seven independent actions are included in the reinforcement learning model. This study is the world’s first to contribute a new guideline for applying reinforcement learning and digital twins to improve the efficiency of railway maintenance, reduce the number of defects, reduce the maintenance cost, reduce the possession time for railway maintenance, improve the overall safety of the railway operation, and improve the passenger comfort which can be seen from its results.
The increase in demand for railway transportation results in a significant need for higher train axle load and faster speed. Weak and sensitive trackforms such as railway switches and crossings (or called ‘turnout’) can suffer from such an increase in either axle loads or speeds. Moreover, railway turnout supports can deteriorate from other incidences due to extreme weather such as floods which undermine cohesion between ballast leading to ballast washaway or loss of support under turnout structures. In this study, new intelligent automation based on machine learning pattern recognition has been built to detect and predict the deterioration of railway turnouts exposed to flooding conditions which is the scope of this study. Since the turnout system is very complex by nature, different features and smart filtering are explored to find the potential features for deep learning. Nonlinear finite element models validated by actual field measurements are used to mimic the dynamic behaviors of turnout supports under flooding conditions. The study exhibits that the novel recognition model can achieve more than 98% accuracy, yielding the potential capability to recognize and classify turnout support deteriorations facing extreme weather conditions which will be beneficial for responsible parties to schedule and plan maintenance activities.
Unplanned track inspections can be a direct consequence of any disruption to the operation of on-board track geometry monitoring activities. A novel response strategy to enhance the value of the information for supplementary track measurements is thus established to construct a data generation model. In this model, artificial (synthetic) data is assigned on each measurement point along the affected track segment over a short period of time. To effectively generate artificial track measurement data, this study proposes a NARX (nonlinear autoregressive with exogenous variables) model, which incorporates short-range memory dependencies in the dependent variable and integrates interdependent effects from external factors. Nonlinearities in the proposed model have been determined using an artificial neural network that allowed fast computation of a mapping function in line with the needs of effective disruption management. The risk of over fitting the data generation model, which reflected its generalisation ability, has been effectively managed through risk aversion concept. For the model evaluation, the deviation of track longitudinal level has been taken as a case study, predicted using its degradation rate and track alignment and gauge as exogenous variables. Simulation results on two datasets that are statistically different showed that the data generation model for disrupted track measurements is reliable, accurate, and easy-to-use. This novel model is an essential breakthrough in railway track integrity prediction and resilient operation management.
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