Tropical rainfall variability is closely linked to meridional shifts of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and zonal movements of the Walker circulation. The characteristics and mechanisms of tropical rainfall variations on centennial to decadal scales are, however, still unclear. Here, we reconstruct a replicated stalagmite-based 2,700-y-long, continuous record of rainfall for the deeply convective northern central Indo-Pacific (NCIP) region. Our record reveals decreasing rainfall in the NCIP over the past 2,700 y, similar to other records from the northern tropics. Notable centennial- to decadal-scale dry climate episodes occurred in both the NCIP and the southern central Indo-Pacific (SCIP) during the 20th century [Current Warm Period (CWP)] and the Medieval Warm Period (MWP), resembling enhanced El Niño-like conditions. Further, we developed a 2,000-y-long ITCZ shift index record that supports an overall southward ITCZ shift in the central Indo-Pacific and indicates southward mean ITCZ positions during the early MWP and the CWP. As a result, the drying trend since the 20th century in the northern tropics is similar to that observed during the past warm period, suggesting that a possible anthropogenic forcing of rainfall remains indistinguishable from natural variability.
Abstract. Stable isotope
records from speleothems provide information on past climate changes, most
particularly information that can be used to reconstruct past changes in
precipitation and atmospheric circulation. These records are increasingly
being used to provide “out-of-sample” evaluations of isotope-enabled
climate models. SISAL (Speleothem Isotope Synthesis and Analysis) is an
international working group of the Past Global Changes (PAGES) project. The
working group aims to provide a comprehensive compilation of speleothem
isotope records for climate reconstruction and model evaluation. The SISAL
database contains data for individual speleothems, grouped by cave system.
Stable isotopes of oxygen and carbon (δ18O, δ13C)
measurements are referenced by distance from the top or bottom of the speleothem. Additional
tables provide information on dating, including information on the dates used
to construct the original age model and sufficient information to assess the
quality of each data set and to erect a standardized chronology across
different speleothems. The metadata table provides location information,
information on the full range of measurements carried out on each speleothem
and information on the cave system that is relevant to the interpretation of
the records, as well as citations for both publications and archived data.
The compiled data are available at https://doi.org/10.17864/1947.147.
Lake sediments constitute natural archives of past environmental changes. Historically, research has focused mainly on generating regional climate records, but records of human impacts caused by land use and exploitation of freshwater resources are now attracting scientific and management interests. Long-term environmental records are useful to establish ecosystem reference conditions, enabling comparisons with current environments and potentially allowing future trajectories to be more tightly constrained. Here we review the timing and onset of human disturbance in and around inland water ecosystems as revealed through sedimentary archives from around the world. Palaeolimnology provides access to a wealth of information reflecting early human activities and their corresponding aquatic ecological shifts. First human impacts on aquatic systems and their watersheds are highly variable in time and space. Landscape disturbance often constitutes the first anthropogenic signal in palaeolimnological records. While the effects of humans at the landscape level are relatively easily demonstrated, the earliest signals of humaninduced changes in the structure and functioning of aquatic ecosystems need very careful investigation using multiple proxies. Additional studies will improve our understanding of linkages between human settlements, their exploitation of land and water resources, and the downstream effects on continental waters.
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