Golestan Province is one of the most vulnerable areas to catastrophic flood events in Iran. The flood severity in this region has grown dramatically during the last decades, demanding a major investigation. Accordingly, an authentic map providing detailed information on floods is required to reduce future flood disasters. Three ensemble models produced by the combination of Evaluation Based on Distance from Average Solution (EDAS) and Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network (MLP) with Frequency Ratio (FR), and Weights of Evidence (WOE) are used to quantify the map flood susceptibility in Golestan Province, in the north of Iran. Ten flood effective criteria, namely altitude, slope degree, slope aspect, plan curvature, distance from rivers, Topographic Wetness Index (TWI), rainfall, soil type, geology, and land use, are considered for the modeling process. The flood zonation maps are validated by the receiver operating curve (ROC). The results show that the most precise model is MLP-FR (AUROC = 0.912), followed by EDAS-FR-AHP (AUROC = 0.875), and EDAS-WOE-AHP (AUROC = 0.845). The high accuracies of all methods applied to illustrate their capability in predicting flood susceptibility in future studies.
Changes in the width of channels or rivers that have three-dimensional pool-riffle can affect the key parameters of river engineering and flow resistance. Understanding the effect of width changes on flow structures helps to control erosion and sedimentation in coarse-bed rivers and better design ecological restoration projects. The present study investigates the effect of the sequential pool-riffle and its interaction with the bank narrowness on the turbulent flow characteristics. For this purpose, an experimental study was conducted in variable and fixed width flume with an aspect ratio greater than five. The results showed that when the flow decelerates (entrance of the pool), the negative and low longitudinal velocities expand as the flow depth increases. From both sides of the central axis, longitudinal velocities decreased when entering the middle part of the pool and reduced the flow width. The changes in the maximum turbulence intensity values, from the central axis towards the channel bank, in the variable and fixed width modes had an increasing trend. In all three longitudinal directions along the flume, the maximum turbulence intensity and the maximum Reynolds shear stress in the variable width mode were larger than those in fixed one. Knowledge of the flow pattern along a variable width stream and better understanding of velocity and Reynolds stress distribution will help engineers to better estimate the controlling parameters in river restoration and improve hydraulic models’ performance.
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