For the purpose of demonstration, this study quantified the impacts of uncertainty in the rainfall projections of the GCMs on hydrological projections. A daily watershed model, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was calibrated to the runoff observations made at the outlet of a study watershed, the Hatchet Creek watershed, located in Alachua County, FL, and all 29 GCM rainfall projections were incorporated into the calibration model. The modeling results showed that runoff projections could be largely different depending on the selection of rainfall projections. The average size (0.57 mm) of the runoff uncertainty (the grey band in Fig. S1) was greater than that (0.43 mm) of the watershed runoff, indicating the significance of the impacts of the discrepancies between observed and projected rainfall characteristics in the hydrological analysis of climate change.
This 8-page document gives an overview of Florida temperature and rainfall during the past 20 years based on historical FAWN data to provide information about the temporal and spatial trends of Florida weather and the frequency and size of extreme weather events such as heavy rainfall and drought. This document also investigates the characteristics of drought and heavy rainfall in relation to hurricanes and tropical storms. Written by Satbyeol Shin, Young Gu Her, Geraldina Zhang, and William Lusher, and published by the UF/IFAS Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, January 2020.https://edis.ifas.ufl.edu/ae537
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