Liver biopsy is required for staging hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C, but it is an expensive procedure with occasional complications and poor patient acceptance. This cohort study was designed to assess the accuracy of a noninvasive method aimed to discriminate between patients with and without significant liver fibrosis (stages 2-4 versus 0-1). Clinically relevant variables were analyzed in a cohort of 476 consecutive untreated patients (estimation group, 351 patients; validation group, 125 patients) with chronic hepatitis C who underwent a liver biopsy. Multivariate analysis identified age, gamma glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT), cholesterol, platelet count, and prothrombin time as independent predictors of fibrosis. We constructed a model and a score system combining age, GGT, cholesterol, and platelet count that proved useful to identify patients without significant hepatic fibrosis. The area under the ROC curve was 0.86 for the estimation group and 0.81 for the validation group. Using the best cutoff score (less than 4.2), presence of significant fibrosis (F2 to F4) could be excluded with high accuracy (negative predictive value of 96%) in 125 (36%) of 351 patients. Similarly, it could be excluded with the same certainty in 49 (39%) of the 125 patients of the validation group. Only 2 patients with liver fibrosis stage 2 were incorrectly classified. In conclusion, a combination of easily accessible variables accurately predicts the absence of significant fibrosis and might render liver biopsy unnecessary in more than one third of patients with chronic hepatitis C. (HEPATOLOGY 2002;36:986-992.)

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA serum concentration, quasispecies complexity, and sequence and phylogenetic analysis of the nonstructural 5A gene (NS5A) interferon sensitivity determining region (ISDR) were determined in pretreatment serum samples from 47 patients with chronic hepatitis C (36 infected by HCV genotype 1b and 11 by 3a). Among HCV genotype 1b-infected patients, virus load was lower (P = .003) and the number of NS5A-ISDR amino acid changes was higher (P = .001) in long-term responders than in non-long-term responders, but there were no differences in quasispecies complexity. Multivariate analysis showed a close association between response to interferon and NS5A-ISDR phenotype. Phylogenetic analysis showed that isolates from non-long-term responders clustered apart from the majority of isolates from long-term responders. There was no association between virologic features and therapeutic response in HCV genotype 3a-infected patients. In conclusion, low virus load and mutant NS5A-ISDR phenotype are closely associated with long-term response to interferon in HCV genotype 1b- but probably not in 3a-infected patients.

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The quasispecies nature of hepatitis C virus (HCV) may have important implications concerning resistance to antiviral agents. To determine whether HCV NS5A quasispecies composition and dynamics are related to responsiveness to combined interferon (IFN) and ribavirin therapy, extensive sequence analyses of cloned RT-PCR amplification products of HCV-1b NS5A quasispecies of sequential isolates from 15 treated (nine sustained responders and six non-responders) and three untreated patients were performed. Accumulation of mutations in NS5A during therapy was relatively frequent in the V3 domain, but unusual elsewhere. Amino acid changes were the result of the imposition of minor variants that were already present before treatment and always occurred within the first week of therapy. Before treatment, the complexity and diversity of quasispecies were lower in isolates from responders than in those from non-responders, particularly in the V3 domain, where differences in nucleotide entropy (0?35 vs 0?64, P=0?003), genetic distance (0?0145 vs 0?0302, P=0?05) and non-synonymous substitutions (0?0102 vs 0?0203, P=0?036) were statistically significant. These differences became more apparent during treatment, because complexity and diversity remained stable or tended to increase in non-responders, whereas they tended to decrease in responders. These observations suggest that the composition and dynamics of HCV NS5A quasispecies, particularly in the V3 domain, may play a role in the response to combined IFN/ribavirin therapy.