In IaaS (infrastructure as a service) cloud environment, users are provisioned with virtual machines (VMs). To allocate resources for users dynamically and effectively, accurate resource demands predicting is essential. For this purpose, this paper proposes a self-adaptive prediction method using ensemble model and subtractive-fuzzy clustering based fuzzy neural network (ESFCFNN). We analyze the characters of user preferences and demands. Then the architecture of the prediction model is constructed. We adopt some base predictors to compose the ensemble model. Then the structure and learning algorithm of fuzzy neural network is researched. To obtain the number of fuzzy rules and the initial value of the premise and consequent parameters, this paper proposes the fuzzy c-means combined with subtractive clustering algorithm, that is, the subtractive-fuzzy clustering. Finally, we adopt different criteria to evaluate the proposed method. The experiment results show that the method is accurate and effective in predicting the resource demands.

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Improvements in big data and machine learning algorithms have helped AI technologies reach a new breakthrough and have provided a new opportunity for quantitative research in the social sciences. Traditional quantitative models rely heavily on theoretical hypotheses and statistics but fail to acknowledge the problem of overfitting, causing the research results to be less generalizable, and further leading to societal predictions in the social sciences being ignored when they should have been meaningful. Machine learning models that use cross validation and regularization can effectively solve the problem of overfitting, providing support for the societal predictions based on these models. This paper first discusses the sources and internal mechanisms of overfitting, and then introduces machine learning modeling by discussing its high-level ideas, goals, and concrete methods. Finally, we discuss the shortcomings and limiting factors of machine learning models. We believe that using machine learning in social sciences research is an opportunity and not a threat. Researchers should adopt an objective attitude and make sure that they know how to combine traditional methods with new methods in their research based on their needs.

The resources in cloud environment have features such as large-scale, diversity, and heterogeneity. Moreover, the user requirements for cloud computing resources are commonly characterized by uncertainty and imprecision. Hereby, to improve the quality of cloud computing service, not merely should the traditional standards such as cost and bandwidth be satisfied, but also particular emphasis should be laid on some extended standards such as system friendliness. This paper proposes a dynamic resource scheduling method based on fuzzy control theory. Firstly, the resource requirements prediction model is established. Then the relationships between resource availability and the resource requirements are concluded. Afterwards fuzzy control theory is adopted to realize a friendly match between user needs and resources availability. Results show that this approach improves the resources scheduling efficiency and the quality of service (QoS) of cloud computing.

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