In recent years, there has been growing interest in using Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV) derived from Global Positioning System (GPS) signal delays to predict rainfall. However, the occurrence of rainfall is dependent on a myriad of atmospheric parameters. This paper proposes a systematic approach to analyze various parameters that affect precipitation in the atmosphere. Different ground-based weather features like Temperature, Relative Humidity, Dew Point, Solar Radiation, PWV along with Seasonal and Diurnal variables are identified, and a detailed feature correlation study is presented. While all features play a significant role in rainfall classification, only a few of them, such as PWV, Solar Radiation, Seasonal and Diurnal features, stand out for rainfall prediction. Based on these findings, an optimum set of features are used in a data-driven machine learning algorithm for rainfall prediction. The experimental evaluation using a four-year (2012-2015) database shows a true detection rate of 80.4%, a false alarm rate of 20.3%, and an overall accuracy of 79.6%. Compared to the existing literature, our method significantly reduces the false alarm rates.
Different empirical models have been developed for cloud detection. There is a growing interest in using the groundbased sky/cloud images for this purpose. Several methods exist that perform binary segmentation of clouds. In this paper, we propose to use a deep learning architecture (U-Net) to perform multi-label sky/cloud image segmentation. The proposed approach outperforms recent literature by a large margin.
Numerous weather parameters affect the occurrence and amount of rainfall. Therefore, it is important to study these parameters and their interdependency. In this paper, different weather and time-related variables -relative humidity, solar radiation, temperature, dew point, day-of-year, and time-ofday are analyzed systematically using Principal Component Analysis (PCA). We found that four principal components explain a cumulative variance of 85%. The first two principal components are applied to distinguish rain and no-rain scenarios as well. We conclude that all 7 variables have similar contribution towards rainfall detection.
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