Cyber crime is growing fast day-by-day through the spreading of Internet around the world. Many under-developed countries are using dial-up-setup network where a call is connected only after a little extra effort. Some identified cyber crimes are writing abusive letters, giving threats to other, sending unwanted mails, hacking secret data, phishing attack on websites etc. The Internet traffic growth has some positive correlation with the cyber crime as justified by the Markov Chain Model based analysis of authors to examine the interrelationship between traffic sharing and blocking probability. This analysis has been extended for two-call basis also and model based relations are derived. These relations are complicated in terms of mathematical structure. This paper presents least square based curve analysis for Markov Chain model based relationship between traffic sharing and network blocking. The earlier suggested complicated relationship has been simplified in the form of straight line showing a good fitting. The Coefficient of determination has been computed showing the high value towards unity. It proves that simplified linear relationships perform well as a thumb rule for expressing the complex relationship between traffic sharing and network blocking probability. .
KeywordsUser behavior, Transition Probability Matrix (TPM), Markov Chain Model (MCM), Coefficient of Determination (COD), Confidence Interval.
In a declining market for goods, we optimize the net profit in business when inventory management allows change in the selling prices n times over time horizon. We are computing optimal number of changes in prices, respective optimal prices, and optimal profit in each of the cycle for a deteriorating product. This paper theoretically proves that for any business setup there exists an optimal number of price settings for obtaining maximum profit. Theoretical results are supported by numerical examples for different setups (data set) and it is found that for every setup the dynamic pricing policy outperforms the static pricing policy. In our model, the deterioration factor has been taken into consideration. The deteriorated units are determined by the recurrence method. Also we studied the effect of different parameters on optimal policy with simulation. For managerial purposes, we have provided some "suggested intervals" for choosing parameters depending upon initial demand, which help to predict the best prices and arrival of customers (demand).
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