The Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator coupled model (ACCESS-CM) has been developed at the Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research (CAWCR), a partnership between CSIRO 1 and the Bureau of Meteorology. It is built by coupling the UK Met Office atmospheric unified model (UM), and other sub-models as required, to the ACCESS ocean model, which consists of the NOAA/GFDL 2 ocean model MOM4p1 and the LANL 3 sea-ice model CICE4.1, under the CERFACS 4 OASIS3.2-5 coupling framework. The primary goal of the ACCESS-CM development is to provide the Australian climate community with a new generation fully coupled climate model for climate research, and to participate in phase five of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5). This paper describes the ACCESS-CM framework and components, and presents the control climates from two versions of the ACCESS-CM, ACCESS1.0 and AC-CESS1.3, together with some fields from the 20 th century historical experiments, as part of model evaluation. While sharing the same ocean sea-ice model (except different setups for a few parameters), ACCESS1.0 and ACCESS1.3 differ from each other in their atmospheric and land surface components: the former is configured with the UK Met Office HadGEM2 (r1.1) atmospheric physics and the Met Office Surface Exchange Scheme land surface model version 2, and the latter with atmospheric physics similar to the UK Met Office Global Atmosphere 1.0 including modifications performed at CAWCR and the CSIRO Community Atmosphere Biosphere Land Exchange land surface model version 1.8. The global average annual mean surface air temperature across the 500-year preindustrial control integrations show a warming drift of 0.35 °C in ACCESS1.0 and 0.04 °C in AC-CESS1.3. The overall skills of ACCESS-CM in simulating a set of key climatic fields both globally and over Australia significantly surpass those from the preceding CSIRO Mk3.5 model delivered to the previous coupled model inter-comparison. However, ACCESS-CM, like other CMIP5 models, has deficiencies in various aspects, and these are also discussed.
Fully coupled climate models have long shown a wide range of Antarctic sea ice states and evolution over the satellite era. Here, we present a high-level evaluation of Antarctic sea ice in 40 models from the most recent phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). Many models capture key characteristics of the mean seasonal cycle of sea ice area (SIA), but some simulate implausible historical mean states compared to satellite observations, leading to large intermodel spread. Summer SIA is consistently biased low across the ensemble. Compared to the previous model generation (CMIP5), the intermodel spread in winter and summer SIA has reduced, and the regional distribution of sea ice concentration has improved. Over 1979-2018, many models simulate strong negative trends in SIA concurrently with stronger-than-observed trends in global mean surface temperature (GMST). By the end of the 21st century, models project clear differences in sea ice between forcing scenarios.Plain Language Summary Coupled climate models are complex computer programs that simulate the interaction of the atmosphere, ocean, land surface, and cryosphere. An important feature of the Southern Ocean is its sea ice cover, which typically expands in winter to cover an area comparable to that of Russia. Climate models have shown very different amounts of Antarctic sea ice coverage and very different trajectories of sea ice change in response to expected greenhouse gas emissions. This year, new coupled climate models released under the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) will form the basis of the next IPCC assessment report. Here, we compare output from those models to satellite observations of the areal coverage of sea ice. As a whole, the models successfully capture some elements of the observed seasonal cycle of sea ice but underestimate the summer minimum sea ice area. Compared to results from the previous model generation (CMIP5), the range across models has reduced, and the location of sea ice agrees better with observations. Models project sea ice loss over the 21st century in all scenarios, but confidence in the rate of loss is limited, as most models show stronger global warming trends than observed over the recent historical period. Key Points:• CMIP6-mean Antarctic sea ice area is close to observations, but intermodel spread remains substantial • We find modest improvements in the simulation of sea ice area and concentration compared to CMIP5 • Most CMIP6 models simulate sea ice losses and stronger-than-observed GMST trends over 1979-2018
Abstract. Impacts of wave-induced breakup of Antarctic sea ice on ice concentration and volume are investigated using a modified version of the CICE sea-ice model, run in standalone mode from 1979-2010. Model outputs show that during summer wave-induced breakup reduces local ice concentration by up to 0.3-0.4 in a vicinity of the ice edge and total ice volume by up to a factor of 0.1-0.2.
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