This research introduces a hybrid model for forecasting river flood events with an example of the Mohawk River in New York. Time series analysis and artificial neural networks are combined for the explanation and forecasting of the daily water discharge using hydrogeological and climatic variables. A low pass filter (Kolmogorov–Zurbenko filter) is applied for the decomposition of the time series into different components (long, seasonal, and short-term components). For the prediction of the water discharge time series, each component has been described by applying the multiple linear regression models (MLR), and the artificial neural network (ANN) model. The MLR retains the advantage of the physical interpretation of the water discharge time series. We prove that time series decomposition is essential before the application of any model. Also, decomposition shows that the Mohawk River is affected by multiple time scale components that contribute to the hydrologic cycle of the included watersheds. Comparison of the models proves that the application of the ANN on the decomposed time series improves the accuracy of forecasting flood events. The hybrid model which consists of time series decomposition and artificial neural network leads to a forecasting up to 96% of the explanation for the water discharge time series.

Social engineering attacks are one of the most well-known and easiest to apply attacks in the cybersecurity domain. Research has shown that the majority of attacks against computer systems was based on the use of social engineering methods. Considering the importance of emerging fields such as machine learning and cybersecurity we have developed a method that detects social engineering attacks that is based on natural language processing and artificial neural networks. This method can be applied in offline texts or online environments and flag a conversation as a social engineering attack or not. Initially, the conversation text is parsed and checked for grammatical errors using natural language processing techniques and then an artificial neural network is used to classify possible attacks. The proposed method has been evaluated using a real dataset and a semi-synthetic dataset with very high accuracy results. Furthermore, alternative classification methods have been used for comparisons in both datasets.

Abstract. This paper proposes an improved CBR approach for the identification of money transfer fraud in Mobile Money Transfer (MMT) environments. Standard CBR capability is augmented by machine learning techniques to assign parameter weights in the sample dataset and automate k-value random selection in k-NN classification to improve CBR performance. The CBR system observes users' transaction behaviour within the MMT service and tries to detect abnormal patterns in the transaction flows. To capture user behaviour effectively, the CBR system classifies the log information into five contexts and then combines them into a single dimension, instead of using the conventional approach where the transaction amount, time dimensions or features dimension are used individually. The applicability of the proposed augmented CBR system is evaluated using simulation data. From the results, both dimensions show good performance with the context of information weighted CBR system outperforming the individual features approach.

Social engineering attacks are well known attacks in the cyberspace and relatively easy to try and implement because no technical knowledge is required. In various online environments such as business domains where customers talk through a chat service with employees or in social networks potential hackers can try to manipulate other people by employing social attacks against them to gain information that will benefit them in future attacks. Thus, we have used a number of natural language processing steps and a machine learning algorithm to identify potential attacks. The proposed method has been tested on a semi-synthetic dataset and it is shown to be both practical and effective.

The use of social networks sites has led to a challenging overload of information that helped new social networking sites such as Twitter to become popular. It is believed that Twitter provides a rich environment for shared information that can help with recommender systems research. In this paper, we study Twitter user modeling by utilizing explicit relationships among users. This work aims to build personal profiles through a alternative methods using information gained from Twitter to provide more accurate recommendations. Our method exploits the explicit relationships of a Twitter user to extract information that is important in building the user's personal profile. The usefulness of this proposed method is validated by implementing a tweet recommendation service and by performing offline evaluation. We compare our proposed user profiles against other profiles such as a baseline using cosine similarity measures to check the effectiveness of the proposed method. The performance is measured on an adequate number of users.