Extratropical transition (ET) is the process by which a tropical cyclone, upon encountering a baroclinic environment and reduced sea surface temperature at higher latitudes, transforms into an extratropical cyclone. This process is influenced by, and influences, phenomena from the tropics to the midlatitudes and from the meso- to the planetary scales to extents that vary between individual events. Motivated in part by recent high-impact and/or extensively observed events such as North Atlantic Hurricane Sandy in 2012 and western North Pacific Typhoon Sinlaku in 2008, this review details advances in understanding and predicting ET since the publication of an earlier review in 2003. Methods for diagnosing ET in reanalysis, observational, and model-forecast datasets are discussed. New climatologies for the eastern North Pacific and southwest Indian Oceans are presented alongside updates to western North Pacific and North Atlantic Ocean climatologies. Advances in understanding and, in some cases, modeling the direct impacts of ET-related wind, waves, and precipitation are noted. Improved understanding of structural evolution throughout the transformation stage of ET fostered in large part by novel aircraft observations collected in several recent ET events is highlighted. Predictive skill for operational and numerical model ET-related forecasts is discussed along with environmental factors influencing posttransition cyclone structure and evolution. Operational ET forecast and analysis practices and challenges are detailed. In particular, some challenges of effective hazard communication for the evolving threats posed by a tropical cyclone during and after transition are introduced. This review concludes with recommendations for future work to further improve understanding, forecasts, and hazard communication.

The ocean responses to Typhoon Cimaron, which influenced the South China Sea (SCS) from 1 to 8 November 2006, are analyzed. Based on satellite-observed sea surface temperature (SST) and climatological temperature profiles in the SCS, mixed layer deepening, an important parameter characterizing turbulent mixing and upwelling driven by strong typhoon winds, is derived. Corresponding to the SST drop of 4.4°C on 3 November 2006, the mixed layer deepened by 104.5 m relative to the undisturbed depth of 43.2 m, which is consistent with a simulation result from a mixed layer model. Furthermore, baroclinic geostrophic velocity and vorticity are calculated from the surface temperature gradient caused by the typhoon. The negative vorticity, associated with the typhoon cooling, indicated an anticyclonic baroclinic circulation strongest at the base of the mixed layer and at the depth of 50 m, the geostrophic speed reached as high as 0.2 m s−1. Typhoon Cimaron proceeded slowly (1.7 m s−1) when it was making a southwestward turn on 3 November 2006, resulting in a subcritical condition with a Froude number (the ratio of typhoon translation speed to first baroclinic mode speed) of 0.6 around the maximum SST drop location and facilitating high SST cooling and mixed layer deepening because of the absence of inertial-gravity waves in the wake of the typhoon. Comparison of Argo buoy data with the climatological temperature suggests that the average uncertainty in the mixed layer deepening estimation caused by the difference between Argo and climatological temperature profiles is less than 10 m.

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In this study, the horizontal eddy heat flux in the upper mixed-layer in the South China Sea (SCS) is derived from satellite-derived observational data of sea surface height anomalies and optimally interpolated sea surface temperature, as well as a reanalysis dataset of mixed-layer depth. The long-term heat flux shows a northward transport on the west side of the SCS, comparable with that in the Kuroshio extension with strong eddy activities. The eddy flux in the SCS has a prominent semi-annual cycle and becomes the strongest in winter and summer with the inflow flux in the south and the outflow in the northwest into the East China Sea through the Taiwan Strait. The semi-annual cycle is related to the strong semi-annul variabilities of the velocity and the temperature in areas southeast of Vietnam and in the northern SCS, respectively. In some areas of the SCS, the eddy heat flux can reach more than ~ 60% of the mean flow heat flux. The convergence of the eddy flux indicates that heat accumulates southeast of Vietnam, which may result in heat storage increases in the upper mixed-layer.