Objectives To identify factors that predict repeat admission to hospital for adverse drug reactions (ADRs) in older adults.Design Population based retrospective cohort study.Setting All public and private hospitals in Western Australia.Participants 28 548 patients aged ≥60 years with an admission for an ADR during 1980-2000 followed for three years using the Western Australian data linkage system.Results 5056 (17.7%) patients had a repeat admission for an ADR. Repeat ADRs were associated with sex (hazard ratio 1.08, 95% confidence interval 1.02 to 1.15, for men), first admission in 1995-9 (2.34, 2.00 to 2.73), length of hospital stay (1.11, 1.05 to 1.18, for stays ≥14 days), and Charlson comorbidity index (1.71, 1.46 to 1.99, for score ≥7); 60% of comorbidities were recorded and taken into account in analysis. In contrast, advancing age had no effect on repeat ADRs. Comorbid congestive cardiac failure (1.56, 1.43 to 1.71), peripheral vascular disease (1.27, 1.09 to 1.48), chronic pulmonary disease (1.61, 1.45 to 1.79), rheumatological disease (1.65, 1.41 to 1.92), mild liver disease (1.48, 1.05 to 2.07), moderate to severe liver disease (1.85, 1.18 to 2.92), moderate diabetes (1.18, 1.07 to 1.30), diabetes with chronic complications (1.91, 1.65 to 2.22), renal disease (1.93, 1.71 to 2.17), any malignancy including lymphoma and leukaemia (1.87, 1.68 to 2.09), and metastatic solid tumours (2.25, 1.92 to 2.64) were strong predictive factors. Comorbidities requiring continuing care predicted a reduced likelihood of repeat hospital admissions for ADRs (cerebrovascular disease 0.85, 0.73 to 0.98; dementia 0.62, 0.49 to 0.78; paraplegia 0.73, 0.59 to 0.89).Conclusions Comorbidity, but not advancing age, predicts repeat admission for ADRs in older adults, especially those with comorbidities often managed in the community. Awareness of these predictors can help clinicians to identify which older adults are at greater risk of admission for ADRs and, therefore, who might benefit from closer monitoring.

Due caution prescribing Beers medications in the elderly seems justified, paying particular attention to PIMs listed above and to the concurrent use of multiple PIMs. Our results also support the retention of specific medications on PIM lists in future developments.

PIM exposure remains high in older Western Australians. Our findings identify patients most at risk and medications to consider on Australia-specific PIM lists.

This study provides an alternative approach for identifying potentially harmful medications and suggests that the use of ICD external causes may underestimate adverse drug events. It takes drug exposure into account, can be applied to individual medications and may overcome under-reporting issues associated with conventional methods. The approach shows great potential as part of a post-marketing pharmacovigilance monitoring system in Australia and elsewhere.

Indomethacin and temazepam should be prescribed cautiously in elderly patients, especially in drug combinations. Furthermore, it appears other antirheumatics should be favoured over indomethacin/naproxen and, in situations where both drugs may be appropriate, digoxin over amiodarone. Our methodology may help assess the safety of new medications in drug combinations in preliminary pharmacovigilance investigations.