Objectives The majority of available scores to assess mortality risk of coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) patients in the emergency department have high risk of bias. Therefore, our aim was to develop and validate a score at hospital admission for predicting in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients, and to compare this score with other existing ones. Methods Consecutive patients (≥18 years) with confirmed COVID-19 admitted to the participating hospitals were included. Logistic regression analysis was performed to develop a prediction model for in-hospital mortality, based on the 3978 patients admitted between March-July, 2020. The model was validated in the 1054 patients admitted during August-September, as well as in an external cohort of 474 Spanish patients. Results Median (25th-75th percentile) age of the model-derivation cohort was 60 (48-72) years, and in-hospital mortality was 20.3%. The validation cohorts had similar age distribution and in-hospital mortality. Seven significant variables were included in the risk score: age, blood urea nitrogen, number of comorbidities, C-reactive protein, SpO 2 /FiO 2 ratio, platelet count and heart rate. The model had high discriminatory value (AUROC 0.844, 95% CI 0.829 to 0.859), which was confirmed in the Brazilian (0.859 [95% CI 0.833 to 0.885]) and Spanish (0.894 [95% CI 0.870 to 0.919]) validation cohorts, and displayed better discrimination ability than other existing scores. It is implemented in a freely available online risk calculator (https://abc2sph.com/). Conclusions We designed and validated an easy-to-use rapid scoring system based on characteristics of COVID-19 patients commonly available at hospital presentation, for early stratification for in-hospital mortality risk of patients with COVID-19.

Objective: To develop and validate a rapid scoring system at hospital admission for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients hospitalized with coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19), and to compare this score with other existing ones. Design: Cohort study Setting: The Brazilian COVID-19 Registry has been conducted in 36 Brazilian hospitals in 17 cities. Logistic regression analysis was performed to develop a prediction model for in-hospital mortality, based on the 3978 patients that were admitted between March-July, 2020. The model was then validated in the 1054 patients admitted during August-September, as well as in an external cohort of 474 Spanish patients. Participants: Consecutive symptomatic patients (≥18 years old) with laboratory confirmed COVID-19 admitted to participating hospitals. Patients who were transferred between hospitals and in whom admission data from the first hospital or the last hospital were not available were excluded, as well those who were admitted for other reasons and developed COVID-19 symptoms during their stay. Main outcome measures: In-hospital mortality Results: Median (25th-75th percentile) age of the model-derivation cohort was 60 (48-72) years, 53.8% were men, in-hospital mortality was 20.3%. The validation cohorts had similar age distribution and in-hospital mortality. From 20 potential predictors, seven significant variables were included in the in-hospital mortality risk score: age, blood urea nitrogen, number of comorbidities, C-reactive protein, SpO2/FiO2 ratio, platelet count and heart rate. The model had high discriminatory value (AUROC 0.844, 95% CI 0.829 to 0.859), which was confirmed in the Brazilian (0.859) and Spanish (0.899) validation cohorts. Our ABC2-SPH score showed good calibration in both Brazilian cohorts, but, in the Spanish cohort, mortality was somewhat underestimated in patients with very high (>25%) risk. The ABC2-SPH score is implemented in a freely available online risk calculator (https://abc2sph.com/). Conclusions: We designed and validated an easy-to-use rapid scoring system based on characteristics of COVID-19 patients commonly available at hospital presentation, for early stratification for in-hospital mortality risk of patients with COVID-19.

Justificativa e Objetivos: É essencial conhecer os microrganismos presentes em hemoculturas de pacientes pediátricos internados para uma melhor escolha da terapêutica antibiótica. Dessa forma, este trabalho tem como objetivo verificar a associação entre parâmetros clínicos e epidemiológicos com o desenvolvimento de sepse neonatal tardia em pacientes internados em um serviço de pediatria de um hospital do sul do Brasil. Métodos: Estudo transversal, descritivo, retrospectivo e qualiquantitativo que utilizou dados secundários oriundos dos prontuários de pacientes que apresentaram critérios clínicos para sepse neonatal, internados na Unidade de Tratamento Intensivo Neonatal (UTIN) do Hospital Santa Cruz. Resultados: Dos 588 pacientes internados na UTIN do Hospital Santa Cruz no período de 01/01/2013 a 31/12/2015, 123 recém-nascidos (RNs) preencheram os critérios para sepse neonatal tardia. Destes, 59 (47,97%) apresentaram hemocultura positiva, o que foi mais frequente em RNs prematuros (39,84%) e de baixo peso (43,90%), embora não tenha havido associação estatisticamente significativa entre estes fatores e hemocultura positiva. Dentre os possíveis fatores de risco para o desenvolvimento de sepse neonatal, o uso de ventilação mecânica (p=0,005), realização de cirurgia (p=0,019) e permanência no hospital por mais de um mês (p=0,001) apresentaram associação estatística com hemocultura positiva. Os microrganismos presentes em maior frequência nas hemoculturas foram os estafilococos coagulase negativa (S. epidermidis, S. saprophyticus e S. haemolyticus), encontrados em 35,71% das hemoculturas analisadas. Conclusão: O estudo evidenciou maior prevalência de sepse neonatal tardia em RNs prematuros e de baixo peso, que necessitaram de maiores cuidados e foram submetidos a maior manipulação durante a permanência na UTIN. Procedimentos invasivos e longa permanência hospitalar se associaram significativamente com hemocultura positiva, corroborando com o descrito na literatura.

Previous studies that assessed risk factors for venous thromboembolism (VTE) in COVID-19 patients have shown inconsistent results. Our aim was to investigate VTE predictors by both logistic regression (LR) and machine learning (ML) approaches, due to their potential complementarity. This cohort study of a large Brazilian COVID-19 Registry included 4120 COVID-19 adult patients from 16 hospitals. Symptomatic VTE was confirmed by objective imaging. LR analysis, tree-based boosting, and bagging were used to investigate the association of variables upon hospital presentation with VTE. Among 4,120 patients (55.5% men, 39.3% critical patients), VTE was confirmed in 6.7%. In multivariate LR analysis, obesity (OR 1.50, 95% CI 1.11–2.02); being an ex-smoker (OR 1.44, 95% CI 1.03–2.01); surgery ≤ 90 days (OR 2.20, 95% CI 1.14–4.23); axillary temperature (OR 1.41, 95% CI 1.22–1.63); D-dimer ≥ 4 times above the upper limit of reference value (OR 2.16, 95% CI 1.26–3.67), lactate (OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.02–1.19), C-reactive protein levels (CRP, OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.01–1.18); and neutrophil count (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.005–1.075) were independent predictors of VTE. Atrial fibrillation, peripheral oxygen saturation/inspired oxygen fraction (SF) ratio and prophylactic use of anticoagulants were protective. Temperature at admission, SF ratio, neutrophil count, D-dimer, CRP and lactate levels were also identified as predictors by ML methods. By using ML and LR analyses, we showed that D-dimer, axillary temperature, neutrophil count, CRP and lactate levels are risk factors for VTE in COVID-19 patients. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11739-022-03002-z.

The COVID-19 pandemic caused unprecedented pressure over health care systems worldwide. Hospital-level data that may influence the prognosis in COVID-19 patients still needs to be better investigated. Therefore, this study analyzed regional socioeconomic, hospital, and intensive care units (ICU) characteristics associated with in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients admitted to Brazilian institutions. This multicenter retrospective cohort study is part of the Brazilian COVID-19 Registry. We enrolled patients ≥ 18 years old with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 admitted to the participating hospitals from March to September 2020. Patients’ data were obtained through hospital records. Hospitals’ data were collected through forms filled in loco and through open national databases. Generalized linear mixed models with logit link function were used for pooling mortality and to assess the association between hospital characteristics and mortality estimates. We built two models, one tested general hospital characteristics while the other tested ICU characteristics. All analyses were adjusted for the proportion of high-risk patients at admission. Thirty-one hospitals were included. The mean number of beds was 320.4 ± 186.6. These hospitals had eligible 6556 COVID-19 admissions during the study period. Estimated in-hospital mortality ranged from 9.0 to 48.0%. The first model included all 31 hospitals and showed that a private source of funding ( β = − 0.37; 95% CI − 0.71 to − 0.04; p = 0.029) and location in areas with a high gross domestic product (GDP) per capita ( β = − 0.40; 95% CI − 0.72 to − 0.08; p = 0.014) were independently associated with a lower mortality. The second model included 23 hospitals and showed that hospitals with an ICU work shift composed of more than 50% of intensivists ( β = − 0.59; 95% CI − 0.98 to − 0.20; p = 0.003) had lower mortality while hospitals with a higher proportion of less experienced medical professionals had higher mortality ( β = 0.40; 95% CI 0.11–0.68; p = 0.006). The impact of those association increased according to the proportion of high-risk patients at admission. In-hospital mortality varied significantly among Brazilian hospitals. Private-funded hospitals and those located in municipalities with a high GDP had a lower mortality. When analyzing ICU-specific characteristics, hospitals with more experienced ICU teams had a reduced mortality. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11739-022-03092-9.