PM10-2.5 mass and trace element concentrations were measured in Winston-Salem, Chicago, and St. Paul at up to 60 sites per city during two different seasons in 2010. Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) was used to explore the underlying sources of variability. Information on previously reported PM10-2.5 tire and brake wear profiles was used to constrain these features in PMF by prior specification of selected species ratios. We also modified PMF to allow for combining the measurements from all three cities into a single model while preserving city-specific soil features. Relatively minor differences were observed between model predictions with and without the prior ratio constraints, increasing confidence in our ability to identify separate brake wear and tire wear features. Brake wear, tire wear, fertilized soil, and re-suspended soil were found to be important sources of copper, zinc, phosphorus, and silicon respectively across all three urban areas.
Source contributions to total fine particle carbon predicted by a chemical transport model (CTM) were incorporated into the positive matrix factorization (PMF) receptor model to form a receptor-oriented hybrid model. The level of influence of the CTM versus traditional PMF was varied using a weighting parameter applied to an object function as implemented in the Multilinear Engine (ME-2). The methodology provides the ability to separate features that would not be identified using PMF alone, without sacrificing fit to observations. The hybrid model was applied to IMPROVE data taken from 2006 through 2008 at Monture and Sula Peak, Montana. It was able to separately identify major contributions of total carbon (TC) from wildfires and minor contributions from biogenic sources. The predictions of TC had a lower cross-validated RMSE than those from either PMF or CTM alone. Two unconstrained, minor features were identified at each site, a soil derived feature with elevated summer impacts and a feature enriched in sulfate and nitrate with significant, but sporadic contributions across the sampling period. The respective mean TC contributions from wildfires, biogenic emissions, and other sources were 1.18, 0.12, and 0.12 ugC/m(3) at Monture and 1.60, 0.44, and 0.06 ugC/m(3) at Sula Peak.
Various authors have highlighted the possible removal of methane from the atmosphere via oxidation by broad releases of iron salt aerosols in order to serve climate protection goals. This technique is known as enhanced atmospheric methane oxidation (EAMO). This study proposes and employs a modeling approach for the potential environmental impacts associated with a hypothetical small-scale field test of EAMO consisting of seeding cargo-ship exhaust plumes with iron salt aerosols. Using a sample region in the Southern Caribbean Sea as a hypothetical testing site, it provides assessments of potential impacts to air quality, human health, and the marine environment. The modeling focuses on the incremental difference between conducting the hypothetical field test and a no-action scenario. The model results are compared to ambient air standards and pertinent screening thresholds, including those associated with pertinent health risk metrics. The overall loading to the marine environment is contrasted against background rates of iron deposition to the marine surface. No significant impacts were identified in this assessment. The hypothetical atmospheric emissions of both FeCl3 and HCl that the ship’s crew may be exposed to remained below governmental guidance levels. The potential deposition of FeCl3 to the marine environment was found to be very minor in relation to the natural contributions experienced within the Southern Caribbean. Similarly, HCl deposition was assessed for potential impacts to the marine environment but was found to have no significant impact.
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