Most electricity markets exhibit high volatilities and occasional distinctive price spikes, which result in demand for derivative products which protect the holder against high prices. In this paper we examine a simple spot price model that is the exponential of the sum of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck and an independent mean reverting pure jump process. We derive the moment generating function as well as various approximations to the probability density function of the logarithm of the spot price process at maturity T . Hence we are able to calibrate the model to the observed forward curve and present semi-analytic formulae for premia of path-independent options as well as approximations to call and put options on forward contracts with and without a delivery period. In order to price path-dependent options with multiple exercise rights like swing contracts a grid method is utilised which in turn uses approximations to the conditional density of the spot process.
The Heston model stands out from the class of stochastic volatility (SV) models mainly for two reasons. Firstly, the process for the volatility is non-negative and mean-reverting, which is what we observe in the markets. Secondly, there exists a fast and easily implemented semi-analytical solution for European options. In this article we adapt the original work of Heston (1993) to a foreign exchange (FX) setting. We discuss the computational aspects of using the semi-analytical formulas, performing Monte Carlo simulations, checking the Feller condition, and option pricing with FFT. In an empirical study we show that the smile of vanilla options can be reproduced by suitably calibrating three out of five model parameters.
Figlewski proposed testing the incremental contribution of the Black-Scholes model by comparing its performance against an “informationally passive” benchmark, which was defined to be an option pricing formula satisfying static no-arbitrage constraints. In this paper we extend Figlewski's analysis to include options of more than one maturity. Once maturity has been included in the model, any “informationally passive” call pricing function is consistent with some “active” model. In this sense, the notion of a passive model cannot be extended to pricing formulas incorporating option maturity. We derive the index dynamics of the active model implicit in Figlewski's implied G example. These dynamics are far more complicated than the dynamics of the Samuelson-Black-Scholes or Bachelier models. The main implication of our analysis is that an appropriate benchmark for assessing option pricing models should in fact have simple dynamics, such as those of Bachelier or the Black-Scholes models. This is despite the fact that the maturity extension of Figlewski's model gives as good a fit as the Black-Scholes model.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.