Background The 2017 KDIGO guidelines establish a 2B grade recommendation in favor of testing Bone Mineral Density (BMD) by DXA to assess osteoporotic fracture (OPF) risk in patients with CKD G3a-G5D. Still, controversy remains because large studies evaluating it for this particular population are lacking. Aim To establish the clinical performance of BMD measured by DXA in the evaluation of fracture risk in women with CKD. Methods We conducted a 43 year retrospective cohort study with 218 women ≥18 years-old with CKD and BMD measurement by DXA of total hip and lumbar spine. Clinical (age, year of CKD onset, comorbidities, BMI, transplant status, treatment), and biochemical (PTH, corrected calcium, phosphate, vitamin D [25 (OH) D3], creatinine, and albumin), parameters were collected from hospital records. All osteoporotic fractures (as defined by the WHO) found in the clinical and radiologic files were registered. Results 218 women with a median age of 60 years (40–73 IQ range) and a CKD evolution time of 12 years (7–18 IQ range) were evaluated. Forty-eight (28.23%) presented an OPF. These women were older (57 vs 69 years, p =0.0072) and had a lower BMD. CKD stage did not influence fracture incidence. In the multivariate analysis we found that for each standard deviation decrease in hip and lumbar spine T-Score, the overall fracture risk was 2.7 and 2.04 times higher, respectively. More than 50% of fractures took place within the first ten years of follow-up, especially with GFR <30 mL/min/m 2 and osteoporosis. Diabetes and hypothyroidism accelerated fracture onset, while renal transplant delayed it. In the ROC analysis, the AUC was largest with the total hip (0.7098, p = 0.000 ) and lumbar spine (0.6916, p = 0 .000 ). Conclusions BMD measured by DXA is a useful fracture prediction tool for women with CKD, having a sensibility and specificity similar to that in the general population. It seems to be appropriate for the diagnosis, treatment decisions, and follow-up of patients with renal failure.
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