BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: While radical cystectomy (RC) is the gold-standard treatment for patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer, it is associated with a significant rate of complications. We aim to develop a prediction model to assess the risk of complications in the postoperative period using routinely collected data in the course of preoperative evaluation in patients undergoing RC for bladder cancer. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 508 patients who underwent RC for bladder cancer from January 2008 to October 2016. Potential preoperative risk predictors were collected. Postoperative complications were graded using the Clavien-Dindo scale. Prediction models were developed using variables with the highest predictive value for postoperative complications. The accuracy of themodels was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and cross-validation. RESULTS: Variables achieved the highest prediction accuracy for major postoperative complications in the 31 to 90-day postoperative period. In this period, 14 variables were predictive of major postoperative complications. The three most predictive individual variables were BMI, neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and creatinine with AUROC/odds ratios of 0.643/1.09, 0.609/2.43, and 0.597/1.22, respectively. This postoperative period also had the best performing prediction model for major complications, which utilized four variables to achieve an AUROC of 0.727. CONCLUSION: Routinely collected preoperative variables may be useful for determining patient risk for short-term postoperative complications after RC. Prediction models can help identify patients who may benefit from patient education, counseling and development of risk reduction strategies. Interactions between individual variables should be evaluated to further improve accuracy of the prediction models.
473 Background: Patients with diabetes are at greater risk for bladder cancer (BC) as well as disease recurrence and progression. Even after controlling for clinical and pathologic risk factors, DM confers a 2x greater risk of recurrence and 9x greater risk of progression. We hypothesize that utilizing a carbohydrate restricted (CR) diet ( < 130 grams/day) to decrease the bioavailability of glucose in patients with DM and BC, a “Warburg-like” tumor, has potential therapeutic benefit. We designed a study to assess the feasibility of a CR diet in patients with (pre)diabetes and non-muscle invasive bladder cancer receiving BCG therapy. Methods: This is a pilot study of 5 (pre)diabetic patients (defined as HgbA1c > 5.7) with NMIBC receiving BCG and maintenance. A CR diet ( < 130 g/day) was supplied for the first 12 weeks through a meal delivery service. Patients received weekly coaching with a nutritionist for 6 weeks during induction BCG and at the 3 month surveillance cystoscopy with dietary and activity goals implemented. Patients had laboratory evaluation at baseline and at 3 month intervals. Patients tracked their diet. Two (1 weekday, 1 weekend day) unannounced 24 hour diet recalls were obtained to monitor compliance. Dietary compliance was defined as < 130 grams/day of carbohydrate intake. Results: Between 09/2016 and 05/2017, 5 patients were enrolled. Mean age was 66.2 years (Range 59-74). Three patients had diabetes and two patients had pre-diabetes. Two patients had CIS, 1 patient had high-grade Ta, and 2 patients had high-grade T1 disease. Mean baseline hemoglobin A1c was 7.6% (Range 5.9-11.8). Mean bodyweight and BMI were 92 kg (Range 66-105) and 28.2 (Range 23.1- 31.3) respectively. Regarding compliance, 4/5 (80%) patients completed dietary logs and weekly labs. Three patients (60%) achieved their goal of < 130 grams carbohydrates/day on 24-hour dietary recall. Average 3-month HbA1c improved from 7.6% to 6.6% (Range 5.6-7.9). Conclusions: Eighty percent of patients completed dietary logs for the first three months of the trial; 60% achieved compliance with the CR diet. These data demonstrate the feasibility of a dietary intervention utilizing CR in patients with high-grade NMIBC undergoing BCG. Clinical trial information: NCT02716623.
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