Nowadays, there are many preconditions and circumstances for conducting shadow schemes in the financial market. Therefore, the level of risk of participation of bank and non-bank financial intermediaries in such schemes is assessed as high. The lack of a practical methodology for assessing the development trajectory of financial intermediaries raises the question of the need for preventive control and quality modeling of their growth dynamics. The study aims to identify and formalize the patterns of development paths of banking and non-banking financial intermediaries based on the Harrington desirability function, which will be used to identify risk patterns as indicative patterns of financial intermediaries’ participation in shadow schemes. The sample includes 13 banking institutions, 3 credit unions, 3 pawnshops, 3 insurance companies, and 3 financial companies. The obtained results showed the relationship between the financial intermediary risk level in terms of its participation in shadow schemes and the phases of the economic cycle as a catalyst for the economic dynamics of the formal and informal economy. Thus, in 2012–2015, most financial intermediaries were in the zone of most significant risk, especially banks, characterized by economic, social, and political instability. Today, banks are in the group with a controlled level of risk of participation in scheme operations. Over the years analyzed, a stable neutral level of risk of participation in shadow schemes was inherent in most non-bank financial institutions. They were less sensitive than banks to the phases of the economic cycle. AcknowledgmentAlina Bukhtiarova and Yevgeniya Mordan gratefully acknowledge financial support from the Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine (0120U100473, 0121U100469).

AbstractThis paper examines the mainstream theories of “financial sustainability” and “financial development”. It is suggested understanding “financial development” as the complex dynamic characteristics of the financial sector, which is formed under the influence of financial and economic policy factors and the financial market functioning. The paper provides the methodology of relationship between financial sustainability and socio-economic development of countries evaluation. Based on the matrix method, it is proved that the differences in developed and developing countries occur due to the relationship between financial sustainability and financial development.

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The public debt at the present stage is an objective economic phenomenon, a component of the financial system and a tool for implementing the economic strategy of the country, and its effective use can be a powerful factor in its economic growth. The paper is devoted to the study the economic essence, current state, structure and main trends of the total public debt of Ukraine. Essence of national debt, state-guaranteed debt, foreign and domestic debt and maintenance of relative amount and rate of debt are exposed. Under the type of debt obligation, public debt is divided into direct (unconditional) and guaranteed (conditional) debt, which arises as a result of the state's obligations to third parties or guarantees for these obligations. There is also a division of public debt by type of creditor. Domestic and foreign public debt are distinguished on this basis. Based on statistical data of Ministry of finance of Ukraine and Government service of statistics of Ukraine the dynamics of the debt of Ukraine is analyzed and an analysis of its structure according the type of debt obligation, and the type of creditor is carried out. Public and state-guaranteed debt during 2016–2020 grows on average annually by UAH 195.95 billion or 10.2 %. The state external debt of Ukraine increased during the period under study from UAH 980.19 billion on 01.01.2016 to UAH 1258.52 billion. at the end of 2020 with a decrease in 2019 by UAH 168.54 billion. The impact of external borrowing on economic growth is determined by the relative size of debt the share of public debt in GDP. The analysis of the indicator shows that in 2016–2020 it decreased from 81.0 % at the end of 2016 to 50.3 % in 2019, which corresponds to the legal norm, while in 2020 its share has already reached 60.8 %, which is 10.3 % more than in the previous year.

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