Introduction: The carbon cap and trade mechanism (CCTM) is forcing companies to reduce carbon emissions. Due to financial and technical constraints, manufacturers responsible for recycling and remanufacturing begin to seek embedded services from energy service companies (ESCOs), marking the emergence of embedded low-carbon service supply chains. The purpose of this paper is to explore the role of embedded low-carbon service in supply chains in lowering manufacturer’s carbon emissions and maintaining economic growth.Methods: In this paper, a decision model for risk-averse closed-loop supply chain for embedded low-carbon service in uncertain markets is built by using the Stackelberg theory and mean-variance (MV) approach. Equilibrium decisions, the manufacturer’s expected utility growth, and total carbon emission reduction are obtained. Sensitivity analysis is performed for the main parameters.Results: The results indicate that only when the manufacturer’s risk aversion level and consumers’ low-carbon preference are within the range of 0.35–0.9, can the manufacturer bring in embedded low-carbon service by cooperating with an ESCO through revenue-sharing contracts. When there is a higher carbon price, embedded low-carbon service can further increase the manufacturer’s expected utility, maintain economic growth and reduce carbon emissions.Discussion: Embedded low-carbon service in supply chains can play a role in lowering manufacturers’ carbon emissions and maintaining economic growth when the manufacturer’s risk aversion level, carbon price, and consumers’ low-carbon preference are high. Theoretically, this study combines closed-loop supply chains (CLSCs) and embedded low-carbon services, enriching supply chain theories. In addition, the findings provide managerial insights for manufacturers, ESCOs, and governments.

Government carbon policies and consumers’ preferences are forcing companies to reduce their carbon emissions. Due to financial and technical constraints, carbon-dependent manufacturers are seeking embedded services from energy service companies. By considering these government carbon policies and consumer preferences, this paper constructs a revenue-sharing contract and a two-part contract model for an embedded low-carbon service supply chain using the Stackelberg game to investigate the contractual coordination between the manufacturer and energy service company and their optimal decision making. The equilibrium decisions and the selection of contracts in the supply chain with different parameter levels were obtained. The model’s validity was verified through numerical simulation analysis, and the impacts of the main parameters on the equilibrium decisions and expected utility for the supply chain were analyzed. The results showed that both contracts would enable manufacturers and low-carbon service providers to achieve profit maximization goals when the parameters meet certain constraints. Changes in consumers’ low-carbon and low-price preferences can cause manufacturers to change their business strategies. In addition, the level of technology of ESCOs affects the selection of the type of contract between manufacturers and energy service companies. The findings described in this paper can provide management insights for manufacturers regarding carbon reduction in practice.

As a province with coal-based energy structure, it becomes particularly important to balance the relationship between economy, energy and environment in Anhui Province. This study takes the energy sector of Anhui Province as the research object, takes the energy balance sheet of Anhui Province as the empirical data, calculates and analyzes the carbon emission of energy consumption and the change characteristics of Anhui Province from 2005 to 2022, uses LMDI factor analysis to quantify the contribution of economic development, energy consumption intensity, etc. to carbon emission, and introduces LEAP model to establish four scenarios for Anhui Province from 2025 to 2030 for energy consumption The trend of energy consumption and carbon emission in Anhui Province from 2025 to 2030 is forecasted, and the consumption of non-clean energy in Anhui Province is further analyzed to provide some political reference for the development strategy of energy conservation and emission reduction in Anhui Province.