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Background The percentage of older patients undergoing surgery for early-stage breast cancer has decreased over the past decade. This study aimed to develop a prediction model for postoperative complications to better inform patients about the benefits and risks of surgery, and to investigate the association between complications and functional status and quality of life (QoL). Methods Women aged at least 70 years who underwent surgery for Tis–3 N0 breast cancer were included between 2013 and 2018. The primary outcome was any postoperative complication within 30 days after surgery. Secondary outcomes included functional status and QoL during the first year after surgery, as assessed by the Groningen Activity Restriction Scale and the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer QLQ-C30 and QLQ-BR23 questionnaires. A prediction model was developed using multivariable logistic regression and validated externally using data from the British Bridging the Age Gap Study. Linear mixed models were used to assess QoL and functional status over time. Results The development and validation cohorts included 547 and 2727 women respectively. The prediction model consisted of five predictors (age, polypharmacy, BMI, and type of breast and axillary surgery) and performed well in internal (area under curve (AUC) 0.76, 95 per cent c.i. 0.72 to 0.80) and external (AUC 0.70, 0.68 to 0.72) validations. Functional status and QoL were not affected by postoperative complication after adjustment for confounders. Conclusion This validated prediction model can be used to counsel older patients with breast cancer about the postoperative phase. Postoperative complications did not affect functional status nor QoL within the first year after surgery even after adjustment for predefined confounders. Lay summary Surgery remains the standard of care for the majority of older patients with breast cancer. The percentage of older patients with breast cancer receiving surgery is decreasing. The reason for this decline is unknown, but it might be due to fear of complications. To better inform patients about the benefits and risks of surgery, the aim of this study was to develop a prediction model for complications after surgery. Another important aspect, especially for older adults with breast cancer, is quality of life, functional capacity, and ability to carry out daily tasks (functional status) after therapy. This study showed that quality of life and functional status did not decline after breast surgery, irrespective of the occurrence of postoperative complications.

The number of older patients with breast cancer has increased due to the aging of the general population. The use of a geriatric assessment in this population has been advocated in many studies and guidelines as it can be used to identify high risk populations for early mortality and toxicity. Additionally, geriatric parameters could predict relevant outcome measures. This systematic review summarizes all available evidence on predictive factors for various outcomes (disease-related and survival, toxicity, and patient-reported outcomes), with a special focus on geriatric parameters and patient-reported outcomes, in older patients with breast cancer. Studies were identified through systematic review of the literature published up to September 1st 2019 in the PubMed database and EMBASe. A total of 173 studies were included. Most studies investigated disease-related and survival outcomes (n = 123, 71%). Toxicity was investigated in 40 studies (23%) and a mere 15% (n = 26) investigated patient-reported outcomes. Various measures that can be derived from a geriatric assessment were predictive for survival endpoints. Furthermore, geriatric parameters were among the most frequently found predictors for toxicity and patient-reported outcomes.In conclusion, this study shows that geriatric parameters can predict survival, toxicity, and patient-reported outcomes in older patients with breast cancer. These findings can be used in daily clinical practice to identify patients at risk of early mortality, high risk of treatment toxicity or poor functional outcome after treatment. A minority of studies used relevant outcome measures for older patients, showing the need for studies that are tailored to the older population.

Background: Previous studies have shown that survival outcomes for older patients with breast cancer vary substantially across Europe, with worse survival reported in the