The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is a statistical tool for evaluating the accuracy of diagnostic tests. Investigators often compare the validity of two tests based on the estimated areas under the respective ROC curves. However, the traditional way of comparing entire areas under two ROC curves is not sensitive when two ROC curves cross each other. Also, there are some cutpoints on the ROC curves that are not considered in practice because their corresponding sensitivities or specificities are unacceptable. For the purpose of comparing the partial area under the curve (AUC) within a specific range of specificity for two correlated ROC curves, a non-parametric method based on Mann-Whitney U-statistics has been developed. The estimation of AUC along with its estimated variance and covariance is simplified by a method of grouping the observations according to their cutpoint values. The method is used to evaluate alternative logistic regression models that predict whether a subject has incident breast cancer based on information in Medicare claims data.

The traditional black-box Thevenin equivalent method cannot analyze the influence mechanism of wind power integration on Thevenin equivalent parameters. With the increase in wind power penetration, it will be difficult to accurately assess the voltage stability of power systems with wind power. Therefore, a Thevenin equivalent analytical method is proposed to analyze the voltage stability of a power system with wind power. This method adopts the equivalent model of wind power integration based on the current source model. It establishes the Thevenin equivalent analytical model for power systems with wind power by dividing the node types. Then, the analytical expressions of the Thevenin equivalent parameters are derived based on two equivalent modes to characterize the mechanism of wind power integration on the Thevenin equivalent parameters. In addition, the calculation flow chart of the voltage stability criterion is formulated based on the analytical value of the Thevenin equivalent impedance under different load growth ratios and wind power penetrations. Finally, a case study is conducted on the improved IEEE 39 node system with wind power. The results demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed Thevenin equivalent analytical method, which can more accurately judge the voltage stability of the power system with wind power.

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