In this study, a capric acid (CA)-stearic acid (SA)/ expanded graphite (EG) composite phase change material (PCM) was prepared, and the optimum mass ratio of CA-SA is 0.84:0.16. The composite PCM was characterized by scanning electron microscopy, differential scanning calorimetry, and X-ray diffraction. It can be concluded that the CA-SA mixture was found to possess good compatibility with EG, the thermal conductivity of the CA-SA/10 wt % EG composite PCM was 3.28 times higher than that of the CA-SA mixture, and the PCM thermal stability was satisfactory; no leakage occurred in the CA-SA/10 wt % EG composite PCM. The PCM has good thermal reliability after 500 thermal cycles. Finally, it is shown that the CA-SA/10 wt % EG composite PCM showed excellent performance, and therefore, it can be used for low-temperature thermal energy storage.

The fault tree analysis (FTA) method is an important analysis method for safety system engineering. Traditional accident analysis theory agrees that basic events lead to top events, but it does not fully consider that the accident process is accidental, and the calculation results exaggerate the probability of accident occurrence. This paper selects typical collision accidents, analyzes the shortcomings of the existing fault tree, indicates that there is a contingency in the accident process, constructs a probability fault tree based on the traditional fault tree, and puts forward concepts of “probability AND gate” and “probability OR gate”. In addition, based on the traditional quantitative analysis method of fault trees, calculations of the occurrence probability, probability importance coefficient, and critical importance coefficient of top events are modified, and the modified quantitative calculation is applied to accident cases.