Land-use/land-cover change (LUCC) is an important factor affecting carbon storage. It is of great practical significance to quantify the relationship between LUCC and carbon storage for regional ecological protection and sustainable socio-economic development. In this study, we proposed an integrated framework based on multiobjective programming (MOP), the patch-level land-use simulation (PLUS) model, and the integrated valuation of ecosystem service and trade-offs (InVEST) model. First, we used the InVEST model to explore the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of carbon storage in Hangzhou from 2000 to 2020 using land-cover data. Second, we constructed four scenarios of natural development (ND), economic development (ED), ecological protection (EP), and balanced development (BD) using the Markov chain model and MOP, and then simulated the spatial distribution of land cover in 2030 with the PLUS model. Third, the InVEST model was used to predict carbon storage in 2030. Finally, we conducted a spatial correlation of Hangzhou’s carbon storage and delineated carbon storage zoning in Hangzhou. The results showed that: (1) The artificial surfaces grew significantly, while the cultivated land decreased significantly from 2000 to 2020. The overall trend was a decrease in carbon storage, and the changing areas of carbon storage were characterized by local aggregation and sporadic distribution. (2) The areas of artificial surfaces, water bodies, and shrubland will continue to increase up to 2030, while the areas of cultivated land and grassland will continue to decrease. The BD scenario can effectively achieve the multiple objectives of ecological protection and economic development. (3) The carbon storage will continue to decline up to 2030, and the EP scenario will have the highest carbon storage, which will effectively mitigate the carbon storage loss. (4) The spatial distribution of carbon storage in Hangzhou was inextricably linked to the land cover, which was characterized by a high–high concentration and a low–low concentration. The results of the study can provide decision support for the sustainable development of Hangzhou and other cities in the Yangtze River Delta region.
In HV cable fault location technology, line parameter uncertainty has an impact on the location criterion and affects the fault location result. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the uncertainty quantification of line parameters. In this paper, an impedance-based fault location criterion was used for an uncertainty study. Three kinds of uncertainty factors, namely the sheath resistivity per unit length, the equivalent grounding resistance on both sides, and the length of the cable section, were taken as random input variables without interaction. They were subject to random uniform distribution within a 50% amplitude variation. The relevant statistical information, such as the mean value, standard deviation and probability distribution, of the normal operation and fault state were calculated using the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) method, the polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) method, and the univariate dimension reduction method (UDRM), respectively. Thus, the influence of uncertain factors on fault location was analyzed, and the calculation results of the three uncertainty quantification methods compared. The results indicate that: (1) UQ methods are effective for simulation analysis of fault locations, and UDRM has certain application prospects for HV fault location in practice; (2) the quantification results of the MCS, PCE, and UDRM were very close, while the mean convergence rate was significantly higher for the UDRM; (3) compared with the MCS, PCE, and UDRM, the PCE and UDRM had higher accuracy, and MCS and UDRM required less running time.
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