The association between emergency department (ED) length of stay (EDLOS) with in-hospital mortality (IHM) in older patients remains unclear. This retrospective study aims to delineate the relationship between EDLOS and IHM in elderly patients. From the ED patients (n = 383,586) who visited an urban academic tertiary care medical center from January 2010 to December 2016, 78,478 older patients (age ≥60 years) were identified and stratified into three age subgroups: 60–74 (early elderly), 75–89 (late elderly), and ≥90 years (longevous elderly). We applied multiple machine learning approaches to identify the risk correlation trends between EDLOS and IHM, as well as boarding time (BT) and IHM. The incidence of IHM increased with age: 60–74 (2.7%), 75–89 (4.5%), and ≥90 years (6.3%). The best area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was obtained by Light Gradient Boosting Machine model for age groups 60–74, 75–89, and ≥90 years, which were 0.892 (95% CI, 0.870–0.916), 0.886 (95% CI, 0.861–0.911), and 0.838 (95% CI, 0.782–0.887), respectively. Our study showed that EDLOS and BT were statistically correlated with IHM (p < 0.001), and a significantly higher risk of IHM was found in low EDLOS and high BT. The flagged rate of quality assurance issues was higher in lower EDLOS ≤1 h (9.96%) vs. higher EDLOS 7 h <t≤ 8 h (1.84%). Special attention should be given to patients admitted after a short stay in the ED and a long BT, and new concepts of ED care processes including specific areas and teams dedicated to older patients care could be proposed to policymakers.
This retrospective study aimed to derive the clinical phenotypes of ventilated ICU patients to predict the outcomes on the first day of ventilation. Clinical phenotypes were derived from the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU) cohort via cluster analysis and were validated in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) cohort. Four clinical phenotypes were identified and compared in the eICU cohort (n = 15,256). Phenotype A (n = 3112) was associated with respiratory disease, had the lowest 28-day mortality (16%), and had a high extubation success rate (~80%). Phenotype B (n = 3335) was correlated with cardiovascular disease, had the second-highest 28-day mortality (28%), and had the lowest extubation success rate (69%). Phenotype C (n = 3868) was correlated with renal dysfunction, had the highest 28-day mortality (28%), and had the second-lowest extubation success rate (74%). Phenotype D (n = 4941) was associated with neurological and traumatic diseases, had the second-lowest 28-day mortality (22%), and had the highest extubation success rate (>80%). These findings were validated in the validation cohort (n = 10,813). Additionally, these phenotypes responded differently to ventilation strategies in terms of duration of treatment, but had no difference in mortality. The four clinical phenotypes unveiled the heterogeneity of ICU patients and helped to predict the 28-day mortality and the extubation success rate.
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