The Chinese mainland features widespread active faults and intensive seismic activity; both can be described in terms of slip rates on these faults. Previous studies of fault slip rates in mainland China have focused on individual faults or fault segments, and large discrepancies exist among results derived from different methods. Here we derive a self‐consistent estimate of the slip rates on all major faults in mainland China using the recently updated GPS data and an elastic block model. The predicted slip rates are high in western and low in eastern China, ranging from 25.1 ± 2.0 mm/yr in the Himalayan Thrust System to less than 1.0 mm/yr in north China. Using these slip rates, we estimated the rates of moment accumulation on the major fault zones and compared them with the seismic moment released on each fault zone using the Chinese historical earthquake catalog that extends for more than 2000 years in many regions. The results show nine seismic zones with large moment deficits (unreleased moment). Future refinement of GPS measurements and earthquake history will allow better estimates of slip rates on individual faults and better assessment of earthquake hazard on these faults in mainland China.
Abstract. Based on data recorded by the French DEME-TER satellite, plasma perturbations have been analyzed before the Wenchuan 8.0 earthquake which occurred on 12 May 2008. Using the revisited orbits, the seasonal variations of the O + density at daytime and nighttime were obtained respectively. There mainly exist two kinds of shapes of O + density, with peak values in the Northern Hemisphere during May to September and reversely in the Southern Hemisphere during other months. Analysis on local daytime O + density showed that it reached its lowest values 3 days prior to the earthquake, i.e. on 9 May. With studies in more than 3 month time series and comparison with those in 2006 and 2007, it was found that the significant decrease of the O + density on 9 May 2008 was different from the trend variations of 2007 and 2006 both with relatively higher O + density in May. In addition, the ion density and temperature was also analyzed before the earthquake at local nighttime. They showed smallest value in O + density and fast and short-term variations in ion temperature on 9 May above the epicenter area. All these plasma anomalies may be related to the Wenchuan earthquake. Finally, using our results and those published in other papers, the possible mechanisms of these ionospheric anomalies were discussed.
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